Mls · resolved market
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-11-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88f1809e0969d6b57d25de7f9a33dfe4c8597950b76cd7549487b0250ac78546
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 21c | 70,000$14,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,699.97 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 49c | 28,774$14,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,615.17 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 49c | 15,429$7,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,577.42 | 257 | 61.5%158 W · 99 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 51c | 8,020$4,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,929.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 4,842$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f7…5b1dbacked Yes | 50c | 4,799$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,404.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44df…6c1cbacked No | 51c | 2,836$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…d597backed No | 51c | 1,965$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c72…8b8bbacked No | 4c | 869.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed No | 48c | 821.37$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.26 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…25b5backed Yes | 71c | 730.04$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 51c | 637.1$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.43 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 51c | 588.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…5840backed Yes | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 53c | 260.28$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.95 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 50c | 254.59$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd87…01a9backed Yes | 49c | 252.67$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 11c | 216.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 50c | 200.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…2943backed Yes | 52c | 200.02$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df9…6c35backed Yes | 52c | 192.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 53c | 169.63$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 50c | 169.47$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.47 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 48c | 166.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed No | 33c | 149.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 50c | 111$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 50c | 106$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 52c | 100.38$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4610…0eb3backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…a4edbacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4c…9ab9backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 48c | 92.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a3…4b19backed Yes | 52c | 90.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee1…41aebacked Yes | 49c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…e6a5backed Yes | 49c | 57.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 51c | 49.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed No | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe950…6717backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75c…86d0backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c84…1093backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd99c…ead4backed Yes | 49c | 35.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 66c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 206 | 41.3%85 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9512…c0d3backed Yes | 49c | 21.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…b9dcbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-11-02?this page
- Will Austin FC vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Austin FC win on 2025-11-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.