TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-10-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,488
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,255

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,488 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x33fc…cee6backed Yes32c6,250$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes32c5,114$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,636.489146.2%42 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes31c5,000$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,558.462454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11be…cbabbacked No68c5,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6001030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-58.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed No68c5,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6001770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+30.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc478…d2e2backed No70c4,301$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.61250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yes30c3,405$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.614235.2%50 W · 92 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed No69c2,982$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.423056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No69c2,907$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.251,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes30c2,700$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8005038%19 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No76c2,225$1,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.4514952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes31c2,050$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.4640222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No68c1,902$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.6910051%51 W · 49 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdda2…4375backed Yes32c1,800$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-74.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked No67c1,800$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.982937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No70c1,623$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.191,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d06…d48ebacked Yes21c1,620$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+47.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No70c1,593$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.216536.9%24 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f9b…4193backed Yes31c1,570$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eae…fbaebacked No69c1,567$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.77450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fea…1accbacked Yes33c1,515$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No68c1,374$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.7118160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes33c1,285$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.5716136%58 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No67c1,010$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.1912956.6%73 W · 56 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No72c1,004$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.4538343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No69c999.61$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.2514044.3%62 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No77c963.25$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.4920343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabbd…f261backed Yes29c699.9$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed No68c675$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2162445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No68c600$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19219755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No68c600$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19211950.4%60 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c72…8b8bbacked Yes28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8465…6bbdbacked Yes32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick18cpaid-79.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked Yes32c499.84$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.765133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes8c450$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610330.1%31 W · 72 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…86f3backed Yes20c431.9$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick30cpaid-29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf8…e27cbacked Yes32c407.43$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbed…5194backed Yes33c403.03$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7826…20b1backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004641.3%19 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x89cb…574cbacked Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes33c302.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9319344%85 W · 108 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd798…b210backed Yes32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb9…dfa7backed No68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965558.2%32 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes32c291.7$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004228.6%12 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa070…c103backed Yes33c257.58$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+43.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd14…e051backed Yes33c253.46$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.64771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Yes32c203.61$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.162254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Yes28c203.04$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.412722.2%6 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6412862.5%80 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8aa…1342backed Yes31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-50.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked No67c199.92$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.984841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No70c196.41$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.927052.9%37 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No68c195$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.422547.6%107 W · 118 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes32c190.16$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.85119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick27cpaid-67.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked No67c174.01$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.421127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-55.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505540%22 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1932…4e5abacked Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502763%17 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes31c155.17$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.138935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Yes32c154.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4028639.9%114 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed No70c143.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.292759.3%16 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick71cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc711…bf1dbacked No70c143.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.091172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x46fa…97fcbacked Yes28c140.39$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.31425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-49.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56de…2d49backed Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No66c134.01$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.566653%35 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c3…bdf4backed No70c132.76$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.833158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3389…62d9backed Yes31c130$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.91855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed No69c123.19$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1910050%50 W · 50 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No68c104$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.287953.2%42 W · 37 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes15c103.17$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.451877%13 W · 174 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-53.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.54124.4%10 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97b5…42f9backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.546844.1%30 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3216853.6%90 W · 78 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3125659.8%153 W · 103 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf750…4abbbacked Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a50…ff53backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-63.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329149.5%45 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe68a…5a2bbacked Yes32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33f1…7a59backed Yes33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-18.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf257…238ebacked Yes30c90$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed No69c89.86$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.863844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes32c89$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4829846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No68c88.42$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.293342.4%14 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4731…cba8backed Yes30c87.14$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.451464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+29.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6955…867abacked Yes29c86.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253240.6%13 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick28cpaid+30%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No69c78.08$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8822147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x346e…1eb7backed Yes33c75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.752846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes29c74.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7529142.3%123 W · 168 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12f0…6a90backed No71c74.44$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.591741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9597…ed86backed Yes32c71.59$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c68…fa00backed No70c70.01$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Yes26c69.94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185040%20 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31d0…9b7dbacked Yes29c68.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206953.6%37 W · 32 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.