Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d5ef24e9f4eb8391c13c7a3726b5d5faa64f7f0408345b7271f299f31219c4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 28c | 2,341$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.33 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…13ffbacked Over | 72c | 1,396$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.69 | 281 | 66.5%187 W · 94 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 13c | 1,132$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.03 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 30c | 1,099$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.74 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…509dbacked Over | 69c | 1,084$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.2 | 252 | 68.3%172 W · 80 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Under | 28c | 999.97$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 80c | 887.44$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.51 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 72c | 840.63$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.07 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 29c | 630.8$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.42 | 227 | 48%109 W · 118 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…93c8backed Under | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x688a…80acbacked Over | 72c | 458.47$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde3…0d07backed Over | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b62…fd3ebacked Over | 73c | 405.96$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.4 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked Under | 29c | 339.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 207 | 39.1%81 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…148cbacked Under | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 25c | 329.56$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.26 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…72fbbacked Under | 29c | 250.11$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 31c | 240$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 923 | 54.3%501 W · 422 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Over | 71c | 199.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…0a62backed Under | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 443 | 50.8%225 W · 218 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 72c | 171$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…fab1backed Over | 70c | 145.1$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…ad79backed Over | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 72c | 139$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 71c | 137.83$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 343 | 57.1%196 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…60cfbacked Under | 25c | 134.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 71c | 130$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Over | 71c | 105.77$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Under | 13c | 103.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 76c | 101.83$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Under | 31c | 97.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Over | 72c | 97.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Over | 69c | 80.56$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 19c | 55.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c4…a7ffbacked Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d8…eee6backed Over | 74c | 40.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…cd85backed Over | 72c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7291…78e2backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc165…61a9backed Over | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…713ebacked Over | 71c | 17.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7097…e1debacked Over | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f5…1d29backed Over | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)Karmine Corp won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC PlayoffsG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.