Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd62a5be7b2b2024901e2f1e933f57657a477c85cd76173d0fe1086580257cb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof G2 Esports, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5286…0d47backed G2 Esports | 25c | 50,000$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,499.88 | 276 | 37.3%103 W · 173 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Karmine Corp | 75c | 9,000$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…d4a1backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 8,000$5,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.5 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 4,500$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 4,020$3,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.16 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Karmine Corp | 75c | 2,821$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.18 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Karmine Corp | 75c | 1,938$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.44 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Karmine Corp | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 547 | 56.9%311 W · 236 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 1,500$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.4 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 933.2$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.3 | 322 | 53.1%171 W · 151 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 808$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.08 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 779.92$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.98 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 709.33$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.33 | 390 | 55.4%216 W · 174 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 705.28$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.32 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Karmine Corp | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 238 | 49.2%117 W · 121 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…e867backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 648.46$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 629.01$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.25 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Karmine Corp | 75c | 412$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed G2 Esports | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…1339backed G2 Esports | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed G2 Esports | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 282 | 50%141 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Karmine Corp | 73c | 381.05$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.05 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Karmine Corp | 75c | 375.73$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.93 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Karmine Corp | 74c | 373.36$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.07 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e7…ac8ebacked G2 Esports | 27c | 370.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed G2 Esports | 22c | 363.11$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.41 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 351.87$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.97 | 507 | 45%228 W · 279 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed G2 Esports | 26c | 263.23$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Karmine Corp | 73c | 206.28$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.69 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed G2 Esports | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Karmine Corp | 75c | 182.53$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed G2 Esports | 26c | 177.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Karmine Corp | 71c | 172.41$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…e369backed G2 Esports | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked G2 Esports | 24c | 130.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked G2 Esports | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 760 | 47%357 W · 403 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked G2 Esports | 26c | 76.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Karmine Corp | 74c | 72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Karmine Corp | 75c | 72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 65.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 573 | 51.3%294 W · 279 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4be…c0c1backed G2 Esports | 26c | 63.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Karmine Corp | 79c | 49.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Karmine Corp | 77c | 43.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked Karmine Corp | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked Karmine Corp | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Karmine Corp | 74c | 29.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c4…622fbacked Karmine Corp | 75c | 26.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…60cfbacked Karmine Corp | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Karmine Corp | 77c | 19.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 181 | 65.7%119 W · 62 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…182abacked Karmine Corp | 75c | 17.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…6b77backed Karmine Corp | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…93c8backed Karmine Corp | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)this page
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC PlayoffsG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.