Fifa International · resolved market
Will Neymar score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ad2c4ad58781b728cd8d48b14c1efe9d9e515f42828ecafd0f173cd7f9a2663
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6dd…285fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,098$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 14cpaid | +246.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…99d9backed Yes | 27c | 1,065$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a53…dfefbacked Yes | 10c | 1,031$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Yes | 12c | 1,005$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.64 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b33…9b98backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x364f…1515backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd6…092abacked Yes | 14c | 809.52$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19cc…c4fdbacked Yes | 16c | 770.71$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…c8ebbacked Yes | 16c | 679.8$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4f…43ccbacked Yes | 26c | 574.93$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 9c | 560.31$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.61 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 11c | 509.53$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 5c | 423.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc843…e26fbacked Yes | 12c | 414.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…e08ebacked No | 80c | 400$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed No | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed No | 53c | 383.45$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.91 | 489 | 61.3%300 W · 189 L | +71.0wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2d32…98c6backed Yes | 14c | 357.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf062…0257backed Yes | 23c | 350.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf14c…5287backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 10c | 330$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 185 | 38.9%72 W · 113 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 9c | 279$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Yes | 66c | 257.56$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f74…8741backed Yes | 15c | 256.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898c…e4c3backed Yes | 8c | 235.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked No | 73c | 228.81$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.73 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 13c | 220.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961b…2b00backed Yes | 21c | 214.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 11c | 207.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Yes | 19c | 207.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 283 | 26.1%74 W · 209 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…5fbdbacked Yes | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 199$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 10c | 191.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 79c | 184.26$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…2746backed Yes | 8c | 170.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 197 | 39.6%78 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe163…5dddbacked Yes | 13c | 164.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No | 77c | 149.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 20c | 149.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad0f…1b6bbacked Yes | 21c | 143.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…3f46backed No | 80c | 118.83$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 97 | 23.7%23 W · 74 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 9c | 114.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed No | 80c | 107.62$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…a1bfbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 105 | 35.2%37 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…b72ebacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a9…092cbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a52…2114backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f0…299cbacked Yes | 14c | 85.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 17c | 81.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…6c7abacked Yes | 20c | 71.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154d…6bf9backed Yes | 17c | 64.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…2ea0backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 31c | 54.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ef…1953backed Yes | 23c | 52.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed No | 77c | 49.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…b38cbacked Yes | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…93c8backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4e…804cbacked No | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…d8b0backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a0…9cb0backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Neymar score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Neymar score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Neymar score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.