Will Chile win on 2026-06-06?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f65ac28ed33564718237f126f35d0c4c7df768f8b28f4850774cf8181c3a071

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $138,014
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $136,890

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,014 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes	0c	12,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	147	15.6%23 W · 124 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes	5c	9,836$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.86	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	3c	5,688$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.95	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Yes	1c	5,405$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.05	290	30.7%89 W · 201 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes	7c	4,286$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	94	40.4%38 W · 56 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes	7c	4,221$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.55	128	25.8%33 W · 95 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes	6c	3,430$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.25	175	13.7%24 W · 151 L	-19.8wins	-0.11per pick	25cpaid	-69.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes	7c	3,150$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.77	605	11.4%69 W · 536 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes	6c	3,016$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.33	630	35.7%225 W · 405 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b0d…90c0backed Yes	6c	1,790$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.28	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc3…55a2backed Yes	6c	1,560$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.56	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb911…7c31backed Yes	6c	1,550$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.97	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc845…d188backed Yes	6c	1,254$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Yes	7c	1,158$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.54	220	29.5%65 W · 155 L	+10.8wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-14%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes	5c	1,071$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.74	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes	6c	1,000$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	331	49.5%164 W · 167 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes	7c	999.99$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	402	39.8%160 W · 242 L	-13.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad58…3773backed Yes	6c	979.46$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	94	39.4%37 W · 57 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96a4…0d4fbacked Yes	6c	970.39$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce8…6621backed Yes	3c	964.91$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	5cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Yes	4c	945.49$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.18	46	23.9%11 W · 35 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes	6c	945$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.98	122	6.6%8 W · 114 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6d2…7048backed Yes	1c	869.33$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.11	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a19…2a91backed Yes	6c	848.31$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b5f…7750backed Yes	3c	844.46$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	143	25.9%37 W · 106 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed Yes	6c	843.77$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.58	420	48.8%205 W · 215 L	+18.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb15c…604abacked Yes	6c	756.91$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde48…9dbebacked Yes	7c	750.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	109	32.1%35 W · 74 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes	3c	740$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	257	19.1%49 W · 208 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa9…9945backed Yes	4c	653.41$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.14	67	38.8%26 W · 41 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8854…8e9cbacked Yes	5c	570$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa006…9c5ebacked Yes	6c	511.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes	6c	504.89$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.37	117	24.8%29 W · 88 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	347	31.1%108 W · 239 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Yes	6c	453.86$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.87	127	29.9%38 W · 89 L	+7.3wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x315b…d386backed Yes	7c	432.52$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	192	25%48 W · 144 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85b4…7371backed Yes	6c	416.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes	5c	406.08$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.9	847	38.8%329 W · 518 L	-9.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes	5c	404.57$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	169	25.4%43 W · 126 L	+7.0wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Yes	6c	399.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.48	169	37.3%63 W · 106 L	-8.8wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes	5c	383.44$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.89	186	14.5%27 W · 159 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1171…98dcbacked Yes	6c	382.99$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.36	71	43.7%31 W · 40 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4791…02b4backed Yes	7c	366.87$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.16	30	13.3%4 W · 26 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Yes	6c	355.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.59	237	29.1%69 W · 168 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb907…539abacked Yes	6c	338.98$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	107	18.7%20 W · 87 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes	6c	322.03$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	103	11.7%12 W · 91 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7463…1cb1backed Yes	6c	307.69$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	+178.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes	4c	291.3$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.79	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd65a…7ec4backed Yes	5c	283.88$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.19	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-30%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c2…7da2backed Yes	6c	247.02$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes	5c	244.65$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.09	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1f0…7bdbbacked Yes	5c	229.17$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef4f…4598backed Yes	6c	217.62$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.2	232	36.6%85 W · 147 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc80f…93c8backed Yes	6c	216.59$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.12	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x946b…7277backed Yes	7c	214.29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	65	18.5%12 W · 53 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Yes	5c	207.71$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.83	266	31.2%83 W · 183 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6435…e868backed Yes	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.89	200	14.5%29 W · 171 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5500…da1bbacked Yes	6c	198.65$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.59	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	29cpaid	-3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fbd…bbf7backed Yes	8c	187.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Yes	9c	177.78$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	155	43.9%68 W · 87 L	+9.0wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc0f…b9d0backed Yes	6c	172.41$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	-3.2wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5024…057fbacked Yes	8c	135.13$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.81	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-3.4wins	-0.18per pick	28cpaid	-72.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Chile win on 2026-06-06?this page
Will Portugal vs. Chile end in a draw?No won
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-06?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Chile win on 2026-06-06?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event