Fifa International · resolved market
Will Portugal vs. Chile end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77c2808ee5ee73a4659a1bdf0225c4879263c56081d8383f0a782273f93ff1f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $194,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $206,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Yes | 0c | 79,975$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.78 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x17d6…f1e2backed Yes | 12c | 6,663$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.57 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb334…1ae1backed Yes | 13c | 6,154$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 18cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 15c | 5,100$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 13c | 4,208$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.39 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe348…a303backed Yes | 13c | 3,898$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 24c | 3,124$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.27 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 13c | 3,027$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.65 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.98 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 24c | 2,332$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.47 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 2,118$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.24 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 12c | 2,022$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.71 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1b…ccc9backed Yes | 6c | 1,810$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.6 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 7c | 1,687$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.07 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 16c | 1,414$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.21 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,329$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.88 | 265 | 34%90 W · 175 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…7c31backed Yes | 13c | 1,269$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc845…d188backed Yes | 13c | 1,246$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d68…9ff7backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 13c | 721$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.73 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 11c | 645.55$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.22 | 175 | 13.7%24 W · 151 L | -19.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 16c | 540$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 127 | 29.9%38 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 23c | 408$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.68 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 9c | 336.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 235 | 28.1%66 W · 169 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8876…34c9backed Yes | 14c | 311.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 22c | 309.09$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315b…d386backed Yes | 12c | 291.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 192 | 25%48 W · 144 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 280.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 19c | 241.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 161 | 31.7%51 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa006…9c5ebacked Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 14c | 221.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03d…107ebacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…2968backed Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7f…0492backed Yes | 25c | 169.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Yes | 22c | 158.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 420 | 48.8%205 W · 215 L | +18.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 165 | 9.7%16 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Yes | 12c | 149.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 14c | 145.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd153…f849backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd65a…7ec4backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Yes | 12c | 118$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7463…1cb1backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +178.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x475b…caf2backed Yes | 19c | 109.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…0fc8backed Yes | 19c | 106.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +5.2wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…f35abacked Yes | 16c | 101.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…363ebacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 148 | 31.8%47 W · 101 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 13c | 81.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Yes | 19c | 62.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…4b12backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…0736backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 315 | 43.5%137 W · 178 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…068fbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7741…493abacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Yes | 21c | 49.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked No | 74c | 34.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 91 | 74.7%68 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed No | 72c | 23.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed No | 77c | 13.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portugal vs. Chile end in a draw?this page
- Will Chile win on 2026-06-06?No won
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.