Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2989f0c8cb137712084975bb422716767daa047bfc4c3f70c9de025851cd144d

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Rune Eaters
Resolved: Jul 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $128,191
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $146,928

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,191 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Rune Eaters	23c	12,630$2,909 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,908.74	711	43%306 W · 405 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Falcons	77c	9,186$7,075 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,110.18	569	55.5%316 W · 253 L	+22.1wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Rune Eaters	23c	8,957$2,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,060	1,197	59.2%709 W · 488 L	+63.9wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed Rune Eaters	20c	7,000$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	471	46.1%217 W · 254 L	+25.3wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a46…8112backed Rune Eaters	24c	6,870$1,616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,615.66	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons	75c	6,661$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,660.91	1,210	57.1%691 W · 519 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc746…3943backed Team Falcons	79c	3,679$2,908 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$770.2	64	40.6%26 W · 38 L	-5.5wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Team Falcons	78c	3,674$2,867 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$807.27	362	48.6%176 W · 186 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed Team Falcons	80c	3,555$2,844 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$711	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed Team Falcons	79c	2,402$1,898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$504.42	351	51.3%180 W · 171 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons	33c	2,401$793 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,608.46	1,179	43.1%508 W · 671 L	+41.0wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Rune Eaters	22c	2,300$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506	810	29.4%238 W · 572 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed Rune Eaters	67c	2,024$1,356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,355.73	388	55.2%214 W · 174 L	+29.8wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Rune Eaters	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	211	0.5%1 W · 210 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-99.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons	71c	1,931$1,373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$558.1	2,828	43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L	-39.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Rune Eaters	17c	1,826$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.64	893	41.5%371 W · 522 L	+23.0wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb4…da4fbacked Team Falcons	52c	1,692$879 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$812.99	75	66.7%50 W · 25 L	+9.1wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Falcons	77c	1,500$1,155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345	795	59.4%472 W · 323 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1de…21f5backed Rune Eaters	23c	1,500$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345	299	52.2%156 W · 143 L	+19.9wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Rune Eaters	2c	1,400$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.4	613	2.1%13 W · 600 L	-23.4wins	-0.04per pick	6cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Rune Eaters	34c	1,326$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.83	1,275	33.5%427 W · 848 L	-15.6wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Rune Eaters	67c	1,292$867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$867	195	47.7%93 W · 102 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Team Falcons	33c	1,263$416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$847.46	280	44.3%124 W · 156 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Team Falcons	48c	1,250$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$649.99	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+5.1wins	+0.27per pick	42cpaid	+78.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Rune Eaters	44c	1,229$539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.38	998	44.4%443 W · 555 L	+21.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Falcons	79c	1,195$945 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.42	1,151	47.8%550 W · 601 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2deb…2b13backed Rune Eaters	34c	1,169$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	115	51.3%59 W · 56 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons	79c	1,131$890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.51	1,155	47.8%552 W · 603 L	+29.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Falcons	78c	1,007$781 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.68	457	50.8%232 W · 225 L	+14.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons	79c	1,000$790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	1,036	47.2%489 W · 547 L	+15.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed Rune Eaters	24c	999.99$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	262	47.7%125 W · 137 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e8a…5f49backed Team Falcons	65c	921.04$599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$321.54	72	63.9%46 W · 26 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Team Falcons	77c	907.72$696 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.93	1,270	45.1%573 W · 697 L	-10.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Rune Eaters	22c	898.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	60	31.7%19 W · 41 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-35%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Rune Eaters	22c	890.53$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.97	1,577	43.9%692 W · 885 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Rune Eaters	23c	888$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.8	507	49.7%252 W · 255 L	+15.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons	75c	856.85$639 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.3	1,521	37.9%576 W · 945 L	-57.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc592…1ccebacked Team Falcons	73c	820$599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.4	90	42.2%38 W · 52 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Falcons	73c	803.42$589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.56	353	61.2%216 W · 137 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Rune Eaters	13c	750$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.24	962	45.5%438 W · 524 L	+22.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe544…c7afbacked Rune Eaters	24c	716.89$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.36	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Rune Eaters	28c	706.9$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.42	1,137	42.3%481 W · 656 L	-27.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfeb…763ebacked Team Falcons	80c	694.25$555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.25	115	35.7%41 W · 74 L	-6.7wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked Team Falcons	78c	649.99$507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143	270	60%162 W · 108 L	-11.3wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2d9…2085backed Team Falcons	77c	634.33$488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.9	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Team Falcons	76c	620.99$472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.04	410	56.8%233 W · 177 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f79…434abacked Rune Eaters	24c	604.99$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.85	496	44.6%221 W · 275 L	+13.5wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Team Falcons	79c	602.71$478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.71	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43dc…86e1backed Rune Eaters	17c	599.15$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	242	44.6%108 W · 134 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Team Falcons	79c	551$435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.71	410	50.2%206 W · 204 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Rune Eaters	15c	533.08$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.97	679	32.5%221 W · 458 L	-27.2wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Rune Eaters	22c	528.02$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.16	1,821	45%820 W · 1,001 L	+33.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e24…7014backed Rune Eaters	11c	517.48$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.14	104	53.8%56 W · 48 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5d9…b188backed Team Falcons	79c	514.77$407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.27	95	55.8%53 W · 42 L	+8.1wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Rune Eaters	67c	511.01$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.57	542	46.7%253 W · 289 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Team Falcons	80c	500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	265	40.8%108 W · 157 L	-13.3wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Rune Eaters	21c	500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked Team Falcons	77c	500$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115	591	54%319 W · 272 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed Rune Eaters	20c	499.99$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.5	515	44.9%231 W · 284 L	+40.9wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Rune Eaters	42c	489.68$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.05	251	43.4%109 W · 142 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Team Falcons	77c	478$368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.94	170	47.1%80 W · 90 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Team Falcons	78c	475$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.5	647	44.4%287 W · 360 L	+13.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Rune Eaters	22c	458.05$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	319	36.7%117 W · 202 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Rune Eaters	23c	449.16$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.92	365	47.7%174 W · 191 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf346…1b8ebacked Rune Eaters	7c	424.45$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	223	39%87 W · 136 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Rune Eaters	17c	423$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.73	344	42.2%145 W · 199 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91d5…8a03backed Rune Eaters	22c	417.37$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.82	53	47.2%25 W · 28 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Rune Eaters	25c	400.52$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	459	40.5%186 W · 273 L	+14.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Rune Eaters	67c	390.01$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.7	772	58.5%452 W · 320 L	+74.8wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed Team Falcons	77c	389.61$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.61	479	53.9%258 W · 221 L	+11.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Rune Eaters	24c	373.58$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.66	686	49.7%341 W · 345 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08cf…22b9backed Team Falcons	76c	330$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.2	537	58.8%316 W · 221 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Rune Eaters	52c	313.3$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.63	1,443	48.7%703 W · 740 L	+29.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5b1…1b71backed Team Falcons	64c	309.86$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.86	67	41.8%28 W · 39 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked Rune Eaters	26c	307.69$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	488	43.6%213 W · 275 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked Rune Eaters	25c	300$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	310	52.6%163 W · 147 L	+15.3wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Team Falcons	78c	297$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.34	885	39.7%351 W · 534 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Rune Eaters	62c	290.64$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.29	791	59.4%470 W · 321 L	+18.8wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0188…afc3backed Rune Eaters	14c	281.65$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.21	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+2.9wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d49…a319backed Rune Eaters	75c	262.76$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.57	56	42.9%24 W · 32 L	-8.2wins	-0.15per pick	57cpaid	-29%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc327…c72abacked Rune Eaters	58c	260.81$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.95	117	53%62 W · 55 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Team Falcons	79c	254.43$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.43	228	68%155 W · 73 L	+15.4wins	+0.07per pick	61cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb36f…53d0backed Team Falcons	79c	253.67$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.67	209	49.8%104 W · 105 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f1…7032backed Rune Eaters	18c	250$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	295	50.2%148 W · 147 L	+8.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Team Falcons	77c	243.09$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.91	1,247	44.4%554 W · 693 L	+17.4wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd3…3d7abacked Team Falcons	80c	224$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.8	290	47.9%139 W · 151 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68b7…0812backed Rune Eaters	5c	222.23$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.33	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	4cpaid	+733.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Falcons	55c	210.87$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.57	665	45.6%303 W · 362 L	+13.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72db…1029backed Rune Eaters	67c	201.3$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.87	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b39…1f68backed Rune Eaters	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	103	53.4%55 W · 48 L	+11.3wins	+0.11per pick	42cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed Team Falcons	72c	200$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.1	925	61.2%566 W · 359 L	+53.8wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Rune Eaters	5c	199.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	630	32.5%205 W · 425 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x056e…cd80backed Rune Eaters	53c	198.7$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed Rune Eaters	20c	193.5$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.7	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Rune Eaters	17c	193.18$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.35	192	41.1%79 W · 113 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8df9…c22bbacked Rune Eaters	21c	189.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.76	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	29cpaid	-38%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f4…81a6backed Rune Eaters	8c	187.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	50	8%4 W · 46 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Falcons	41c	187$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.33	785	41.7%327 W · 458 L	-14.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e12…e867backed Team Falcons	79c	178.92$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.2	66	33.3%22 W · 44 L	-6.4wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Rune Eaters	13c	161.2$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.51	535	33.8%181 W · 354 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winnerthis page
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Rune Eaters (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group ATeam Falcons won
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event