Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68bd1a62ce34ffcf37b4f413a161fc67ea355ee8bd2685b27a29bd39cbdaf03e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Team Falcons | 80c | 9,877$7,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975.45 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Rune Eaters | 20c | 8,888$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.6 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Rune Eaters | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Rune Eaters | 20c | 3,993$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.7 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Rune Eaters | 19c | 3,811$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.15 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…085abacked Rune Eaters | 19c | 3,150$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.5 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Rune Eaters | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Rune Eaters | 15c | 2,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Rune Eaters | 21c | 1,875$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.29 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Rune Eaters | 21c | 1,604$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.53 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Rune Eaters | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Rune Eaters | 18c | 1,451$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.17 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Rune Eaters | 21c | 1,300$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.02 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Rune Eaters | 8c | 1,286$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.41 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Rune Eaters | 9c | 1,100$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Falcons | 79c | 1,060$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.59 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 960.71$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.36 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf0…696fbacked Team Falcons | 78c | 957.73$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…6091backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 909.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 900$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…8b63backed Rune Eaters | 10c | 869.96$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.19 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Team Falcons | 78c | 834.98$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.7 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Rune Eaters | 22c | 829.83$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…da4fbacked Team Falcons | 79c | 759.49$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.49 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rune Eaters | 17c | 658.42$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.96 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Team Falcons | 78c | 640.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.02 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…b613backed Team Falcons | 80c | 628.14$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.63 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Falcons | 78c | 595.52$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.39 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Rune Eaters | 20c | 568.35$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.67 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Rune Eaters | 21c | 562$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.93 | 395 | 50.1%198 W · 197 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Rune Eaters | 20c | 546$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d9…b188backed Team Falcons | 80c | 520$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.2 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked Rune Eaters | 21c | 516$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.36 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Rune Eaters | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked Rune Eaters | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Falcons | 79c | 499.99$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Falcons | 79c | 431.98$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…ea3cbacked Rune Eaters | 16c | 426.85$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Rune Eaters | 3c | 344.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Team Falcons | 78c | 330$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked Team Falcons | 78c | 315.49$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.03 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Rune Eaters | 23c | 308.57$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Rune Eaters | 21c | 259.49$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rune Eaters | 20c | 250.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Rune Eaters | 21c | 230.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…cec3backed Rune Eaters | 21c | 214.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rune Eaters | 17c | 209.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Team Falcons | 80c | 205$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Rune Eaters | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked Rune Eaters | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 163 | 28.8%47 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Rune Eaters | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Team Falcons | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Team Falcons | 80c | 185$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Rune Eaters | 20c | 173$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Rune Eaters | 20c | 160.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Rune Eaters | 20c | 151$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Rune Eaters | 8c | 132.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…0491backed Rune Eaters | 19c | 130$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed Team Falcons | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7898…f40dbacked Rune Eaters | 15c | 103.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Rune Eaters | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed Rune Eaters | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 140 | 30.7%43 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…6aa1backed Team Falcons | 79c | 84$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Rune Eaters | 19c | 76.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rune Eaters | 19c | 75.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Team Falcons | 79c | 66.05$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccf…cd14backed Rune Eaters | 21c | 62.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Team Falcons | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0188…afc3backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 51.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Falcons | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…5facbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 268 | 48.9%131 W · 137 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed Team Falcons | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2355…4869backed Team Falcons | 79c | 26.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf76e…3650backed Team Falcons | 78c | 16.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Rune Eaters (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group ATeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.