Fifa International · resolved market
Will Kyrgyz Republic vs. Palestine end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x175ef68c86a330ab689d4bd76a378dcbb854cbb0a78bf55a19507135d6385da1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e0d…03c0backed No | 6c | 17,423$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…4c80backed No | 5c | 3,475$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.86 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +20.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc96a…396abacked Yes | 53c | 3,193$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +206.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 58c | 3,070$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.49 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed No | 62c | 2,087$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.12 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked No | 61c | 1,993$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.37 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcab9…baf6backed No | 7c | 1,652$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.3 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb5…7ce9backed No | 62c | 1,610$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.09 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…925dbacked No | 23c | 1,576$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.94 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2d…8e73backed No | 10c | 1,217$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…a790backed No | 4c | 1,130$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.74 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 2c | 972$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 36c | 953.48$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.26 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…0ccbbacked No | 56c | 682.89$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.37 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…a423backed Yes | 55c | 656.67$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.6 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed No | 6c | 633$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +18.5wins | +0.20per pick | 28cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 60c | 516$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.24 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…110fbacked No | 40c | 494.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 36c | 411$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.5 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 65c | 384$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 65c | 384$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 65c | 352$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.27 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a2…e0b6backed No | 67c | 313.9$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.31 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 21c | 273.13$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Yes | 47c | 256.18$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.98 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked No | 62c | 139.02$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.56 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0194…e3c5backed Yes | 45c | 132.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.78 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ba…7786backed No | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 47c | 116.78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.64 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No | 59c | 116.51$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 618 | 55.3%342 W · 276 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 13c | 112$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed No | 54c | 108.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe39f…c040backed Yes | 50c | 105.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed No | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0446…cc69backed Yes | 41c | 96.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked Yes | 46c | 87.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 110 | 61.8%68 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 40c | 72.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.77 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 40c | 58.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 57c | 52.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf811…c45dbacked No | 60c | 46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +459.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3af…b7a6backed Yes | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 41c | 31.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 42c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 44c | 26.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 41c | 26.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1928…1171backed Yes | 69c | 25.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc3…d8e9backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a07…1d4dbacked Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 132 | 31.8%42 W · 90 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked Yes | 59c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b9cebacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked No | 52c | 19.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6e…687abacked Yes | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked No | 67c | 15.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kyrgyz Republic vs. Palestine end in a draw?this page
- Will Kyrgyz Republic win on 2026-06-09?No won
- Will Palestine win on 2026-06-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.