Fifa International · resolved market
Will Palestine win on 2026-06-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5743586a6e2b0a9ea5e57d3101a7c5de2b058f4bfe5201d27065f55125978987
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,701$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked Yes | 5c | 1,797$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 65c | 1,020$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.23 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 37c | 451$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.36 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 36c | 406$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.63 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 65c | 400$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 35c | 356.97$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.94 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 49c | 311.66$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.09 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9931…ea8cbacked No | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 33c | 270.69$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.42 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 48c | 189$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 35c | 148.74$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 63c | 147$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fb…5ef5backed Yes | 34c | 119.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 41c | 106$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 29c | 101.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 68c | 90$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 51c | 71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160c…185cbacked Yes | 32c | 70.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Yes | 34c | 69.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 52c | 63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 67c | 28.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 64c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 307 | 51.1%157 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed No | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Palestine win on 2026-06-09?this page
- Will Kyrgyz Republic vs. Palestine end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Kyrgyz Republic win on 2026-06-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.