Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Federico Cina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x798f2565bb29eb0ae99552a324b737d823d835448c007f435c87d19b34cb3843
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Federico Cinaof Gianluca Cadenasso, Federico Cina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Federico Cina | 68c | 2,425$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.76 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Federico Cina | 73c | 1,876$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.5 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 9c | 1,333$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…ec9ebacked Federico Cina | 71c | 1,259$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.94 | 175 | 56.6%99 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 32c | 1,250$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 28c | 1,200$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 29c | 944.49$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.43 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 28c | 847.36$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.3 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 8c | 715.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…dd87backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 7c | 685.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -52%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…bacdbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 11c | 636.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 3c | 586.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 31c | 424$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.44 | 196 | 34.2%67 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 34c | 365$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.1 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…3053backed Federico Cina | 75c | 319.63$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.91 | 217 | 65.9%143 W · 74 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 30c | 258.57$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 31c | 207.39$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 31c | 193.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Federico Cina | 66c | 181.82$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 34c | 175$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 10c | 151.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 31c | 145.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…d814backed Federico Cina | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 405 | 54.1%219 W · 186 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Federico Cina | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 27c | 130$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 9c | 129.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2b…0be8backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 34c | 114$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 435 | 53.1%231 W · 204 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Federico Cina | 71c | 104.78$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Federico Cina | 70c | 103.71$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 27c | 100.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 346 | 37.9%131 W · 215 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 27c | 90.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 28c | 90$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 30c | 89.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 31c | 81.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Federico Cina | 70c | 71.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x845c…0bdbbacked Federico Cina | 66c | 68.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 27c | 67.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 304 | 36.8%112 W · 192 L | -19.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 34c | 61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Federico Cina | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Federico Cina | 78c | 52.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 29c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 30c | 47.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ab…14e7backed Federico Cina | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed Federico Cina | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Federico Cina | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Federico Cina | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Federico Cina | 73c | 30.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked Federico Cina | 70c | 16.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Federico Cina | 73c | 14.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Federico Cinathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Cadenasso vs CinaCina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.