Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e6843f158e689053d60cb5c3e9e344d7cf3fe01252fbe74bcf2317374c35002
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Team Spirit, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $529,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $633,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $529,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 362 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit | 57c | 29,410$16,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,845.78 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Spirit | 48c | 26,791$12,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,878.58 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Team Spirit | 39c | 21,816$8,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,512.3 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed MOUZ | 71c | 17,153$12,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,997.71 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked MOUZ | 67c | 14,993$10,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,945.53 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Spirit | 67c | 13,102$8,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,797.97 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed MOUZ | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,100 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Spirit | 43c | 10,000$4,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,321.81 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked MOUZ | 65c | 9,660$6,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405.74 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ | 45c | 9,275$4,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.31 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed MOUZ | 64c | 8,891$5,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220.91 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 8,814$5,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,376.76 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Spirit | 38c | 8,721$3,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,356.79 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit | 62c | 8,074$5,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,002.38 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 54c | 7,825$4,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,571.4 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2039…2e5fbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 6,990$4,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,342.04 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed MOUZ | 77c | 6,648$5,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.39 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ | 49c | 6,219$3,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185.68 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Spirit | 69c | 5,896$4,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,061.87 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked MOUZ | 61c | 5,833$3,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,296.74 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed MOUZ | 28c | 5,763$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,154.7 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 52c | 5,675$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720.01 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Spirit | 71c | 5,476$3,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,885.32 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked MOUZ | 66c | 5,228$3,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.24 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed MOUZ | 53c | 5,187$2,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.09 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed MOUZ | 62c | 4,802$2,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.5 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed MOUZ | 73c | 4,537$3,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.6 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked MOUZ | 39c | 4,384$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,673.22 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked MOUZ | 51c | 4,338$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.68 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked MOUZ | 79c | 4,193$3,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.49 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked MOUZ | 46c | 4,167$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.93 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ | 56c | 4,133$2,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.45 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a46…8112backed MOUZ | 37c | 4,022$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,522.24 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Team Spirit | 19c | 3,500$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.18 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Spirit | 49c | 3,431$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.22 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit | 42c | 3,403$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.26 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed MOUZ | 34c | 3,082$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.46 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed MOUZ | 34c | 3,000$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.6 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a6…03abbacked MOUZ | 65c | 2,781$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.15 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…f65bbacked MOUZ | 38c | 2,576$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.95 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…2442backed Team Spirit | 34c | 2,501$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.49 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed MOUZ | 41c | 2,471$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.41 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…79b6backed MOUZ | 55c | 2,354$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.76 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed MOUZ | 33c | 2,200$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.99 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Spirit | 64c | 2,200$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.22 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Spirit | 35c | 2,189$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.86 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed MOUZ | 62c | 2,189$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.31 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked MOUZ | 64c | 2,157$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.65 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed MOUZ | 65c | 2,148$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.13 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit | 18c | 2,065$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.44 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 2,054$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.39 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed MOUZ | 49c | 2,023$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.18 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked MOUZ | 63c | 2,000$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.67 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team Spirit | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Team Spirit | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…1ee8backed Team Spirit | 71c | 2,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed MOUZ | 53c | 1,951$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.57 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked MOUZ | 55c | 1,882$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.49 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed MOUZ | 68c | 1,763$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.47 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed Team Spirit | 58c | 1,731$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Spirit | 32c | 1,726$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.41 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…7028backed MOUZ | 35c | 1,714$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.29 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked MOUZ | 24c | 1,686$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.28 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed MOUZ | 46c | 1,659$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.68 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked MOUZ | 77c | 1,649$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.52 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked MOUZ | 69c | 1,619$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.64 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Team Spirit | 37c | 1,580$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.6 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed MOUZ | 64c | 1,554$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.82 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed MOUZ | 66c | 1,518$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.41 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Team Spirit | 51c | 1,514$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.05 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Spirit | 29c | 1,464$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.69 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Spirit | 74c | 1,430$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.19 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 1,400$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.39 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked MOUZ | 45c | 1,400$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.84 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MOUZ | 27c | 1,369$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.54 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 1,362$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.63 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Spirit | 39c | 1,347$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.91 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed MOUZ | 46c | 1,300$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.99 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed MOUZ | 63c | 1,285$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.25 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Team Spirit | 61c | 1,271$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.12 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed MOUZ | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed MOUZ | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed MOUZ | 27c | 1,195$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.19 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked MOUZ | 44c | 1,184$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.51 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…8a03backed MOUZ | 43c | 1,170$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.89 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MOUZ | 56c | 1,155$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.94 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked MOUZ | 26c | 1,147$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.85 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Spirit | 9c | 1,090$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.69 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Team Spirit | 76c | 1,067$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.13 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked MOUZ | 68c | 1,056$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.76 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Team Spirit | 57c | 1,048$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Spirit | 55c | 1,026$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.08 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Team Spirit | 35c | 1,010$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.5 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed MOUZ | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.69 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Team Spirit | 50c | 1,000$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.5 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed MOUZ | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Team Spirit | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Team Spirit | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed MOUZ | 61c | 982$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.98 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed MOUZ | 37c | 972$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.36 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.