Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ef873d9e6eec0766b681e61aa8fd752a13a62d9b4ed84962bcad09c9e16e11b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $804,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $935,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $804,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 465 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Team Spirit | 43c | 53,000$22,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,421.41 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit | 62c | 27,444$17,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,372.59 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed MOUZ | 60c | 25,840$15,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,631.76 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked MOUZ | 18c | 25,093$4,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,626.2 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Spirit | 77c | 19,606$15,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,453.6 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed MOUZ | 71c | 18,663$13,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,222.25 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ | 43c | 16,212$7,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,024.55 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MOUZ | 46c | 15,857$7,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,273.94 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed MOUZ | 41c | 11,133$4,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,617.39 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 52c | 10,004$5,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,171.57 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Team Spirit | 50c | 9,979$4,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,999.91 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed MOUZ | 30c | 9,558$2,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,896.75 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Spirit | 74c | 9,003$6,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,338.1 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked MOUZ | 26c | 7,124$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2039…2e5fbacked MOUZ | 52c | 6,757$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ | 53c | 6,431$3,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,386.83 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked MOUZ | 33c | 6,380$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105.49 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed MOUZ | 57c | 6,267$3,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,590.16 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…1ccebacked MOUZ | 43c | 5,753$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,477.74 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked MOUZ | 45c | 5,676$2,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.02 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a46…8112backed MOUZ | 46c | 5,390$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 51c | 5,330$2,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,702.42 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked MOUZ | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ | 25c | 4,960$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.07 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed MOUZ | 41c | 4,787$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked MOUZ | 46c | 4,749$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,188.05 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Team Spirit | 57c | 4,617$2,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.78 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed MOUZ | 12c | 4,566$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.83 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Team Spirit | 44c | 4,470$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,486.86 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked MOUZ | 49c | 4,399$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.41 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 4,350$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.55 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed MOUZ | 26c | 4,001$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Team Spirit | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed MOUZ | 14c | 3,990$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.82 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Spirit | 52c | 3,618$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.9 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked MOUZ | 47c | 3,500$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.2 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked MOUZ | 26c | 3,333$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.58 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed MOUZ | 45c | 3,215$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.69 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed MOUZ | 47c | 3,104$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.57 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 3,086$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.33 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked MOUZ | 45c | 3,013$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.96 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked MOUZ | 36c | 3,000$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed MOUZ | 22c | 2,974$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.94 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked MOUZ | 22c | 2,738$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MOUZ | 21c | 2,737$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.67 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed Team Spirit | 74c | 2,521$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.22 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Spirit | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Spirit | 26c | 2,481$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.85 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Spirit | 67c | 2,462$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.13 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…d7dbbacked Team Spirit | 49c | 2,372$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.28 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed MOUZ | 53c | 2,345$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.93 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Spirit | 79c | 2,243$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.05 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ | 51c | 2,081$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.32 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed MOUZ | 36c | 2,048$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.79 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…3a17backed Team Spirit | 74c | 2,032$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.43 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed MOUZ | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed MOUZ | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 1,924$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.88 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…698cbacked MOUZ | 55c | 1,915$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.52 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Spirit | 75c | 1,905$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.27 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…8a03backed Team Spirit | 46c | 1,898$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.99 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Team Spirit | 75c | 1,888$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.75 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed Team Spirit | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed MOUZ | 27c | 1,694$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.3 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Team Spirit | 43c | 1,646$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.82 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed MOUZ | 3c | 1,600$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.57 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked MOUZ | 26c | 1,562$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.06 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed MOUZ | 54c | 1,534$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.75 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked MOUZ | 53c | 1,522$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.88 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked MOUZ | 54c | 1,517$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.19 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Team Spirit | 52c | 1,458$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.83 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed MOUZ | 18c | 1,440$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.2 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed MOUZ | 39c | 1,409$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.11 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed MOUZ | 33c | 1,400$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.99 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…79b6backed MOUZ | 64c | 1,399$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed MOUZ | 55c | 1,398$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.92 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed MOUZ | 44c | 1,391$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.66 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f6…2463backed MOUZ | 60c | 1,350$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Team Spirit | 56c | 1,350$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f1…5729backed Team Spirit | 67c | 1,345$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.78 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…7028backed Team Spirit | 56c | 1,335$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.28 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked MOUZ | 5c | 1,333$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Team Spirit | 79c | 1,333$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.93 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Spirit | 75c | 1,321$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.4 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Team Spirit | 77c | 1,300$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.63 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MOUZ | 47c | 1,297$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.29 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1213…4ceebacked MOUZ | 1c | 1,273$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked MOUZ | 51c | 1,263$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.19 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…9e2dbacked Team Spirit | 21c | 1,243$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 13cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd2…4cb9backed MOUZ | 2c | 1,200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Team Spirit | 77c | 1,185$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.12 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed Team Spirit | 60c | 1,167$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed MOUZ | 26c | 1,129$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.48 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Spirit | 42c | 1,121$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd99e…8102backed MOUZ | 3c | 1,115$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…9b0cbacked MOUZ | 63c | 1,098$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.98 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Team Spirit | 69c | 1,027$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.18 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed MOUZ | 28c | 1,017$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.47 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed MOUZ | 50c | 1,016$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.08 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Spirit | 40c | 1,007$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.2 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.