Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: JL (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf168bf743951a9a590ef01bae101f6603f6cc9743c22797edfc0ebbb2b943183
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOKUSof Joblife, FOKUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2276…efd0backed FOKUS | 68c | 4,752$3,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.43 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Joblife | 31c | 1,476$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.42 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked Joblife | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Joblife | 29c | 382.89$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.67 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…ed54backed Joblife | 34c | 314.71$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Joblife | 34c | 314$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.76 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed Joblife | 35c | 242.86$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Joblife | 34c | 241.18$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Joblife | 30c | 235.77$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.45 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed Joblife | 35c | 171$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Joblife | 31c | 148$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 176 | 40.3%71 W · 105 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ca…bc47backed Joblife | 34c | 120.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked FOKUS | 68c | 116.79$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Joblife | 35c | 116.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed Joblife | 37c | 110$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FOKUS | 48c | 98.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417f…d9a9backed FOKUS | 57c | 87.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Joblife | 28c | 78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Joblife | 30c | 60.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed FOKUS | 63c | 47.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Joblife | 39c | 43.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ab…14e7backed Joblife | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Joblife | 34c | 36.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Joblife | 76c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed FOKUS | 59c | 34.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…0de7backed FOKUS | 69c | 29.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Joblife | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Joblife | 60c | 20.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed Joblife | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: JL (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: FOKUS vs Joblife (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 PlayoffsJoblife won
- Valorant: FOKUS vs Joblife - Map 1 WinnerJoblife won
- Valorant: FOKUS vs Joblife - Map 2 WinnerFOKUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.