CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0c1db7ad93fc7b407e56eac196422b78e2db25da8b4dfa1127339a56e3b1e92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bounty Hunters Esportsof Bounty Hunters Esports, Keyd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed Keyd | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c18…7a4ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 61c | 1,208$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Keyd | 13c | 1,176$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Keyd | 40c | 850$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Keyd | 42c | 811.47$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.31 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 55c | 727.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.33 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Keyd | 49c | 659.88$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.27 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Keyd | 48c | 568.42$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.99 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 60c | 534.09$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.02 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Keyd | 40c | 518.69$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.21 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 51c | 499.97$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Keyd | 2c | 477.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 56c | 355.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 263 | 60.8%160 W · 103 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75f1…907dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 51c | 300$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 49c | 284.13$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.91 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 71c | 266.65$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.17 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 59c | 260$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Keyd | 4c | 259.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Keyd | 46c | 259$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.05 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Keyd | 36c | 251.32$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.29 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…1457backed Keyd | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…bd5bbacked Keyd | 39c | 240.93$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.96 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 49c | 204.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.38 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 59c | 194.49$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.47 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Keyd | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Keyd | 43c | 179.6$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.45 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Keyd | 29c | 167.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Keyd | 51c | 159.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 50c | 156$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.58 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Keyd | 32c | 147.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Keyd | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Keyd | 50c | 131$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Keyd | 37c | 127.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd42d…94d3backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 55c | 120.84$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.43 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Keyd | 12c | 119$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…9b19backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 77c | 114.02$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…df1ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 63c | 101.14$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Keyd | 42c | 98.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Keyd | 43c | 92.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 64c | 92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Keyd | 21c | 87.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Keyd | 35c | 84.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Keyd | 46c | 65.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Keyd | 51c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Keyd | 50c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 63c | 63.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Keyd | 49c | 62.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 281 | 73%205 W · 76 L | +21.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 54c | 61.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Keyd | 50c | 57.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Keyd | 53c | 54.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ab…14e7backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…22acbacked Keyd | 27c | 49.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778f…e69cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 56c | 49.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Keyd | 37c | 44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 71c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…a845backed Keyd | 43c | 35.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 60c | 33.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Keyd | 51c | 32.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Keyd | 40c | 31.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 45c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed Keyd | 39c | 29.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Keyd | 51c | 22.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Keyd | 51c | 21.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 58c | 17.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 PlayoffsBounty Hunters Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd - Map 1 WinnerBounty Hunters Esports won
- Map Handicap: BHE (-1.5) vs Keyd (+1.5)Bounty Hunters Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.