TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BESTIAof BESTIA, Fluxo W7M
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,685
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,949

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,685 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked BESTIA67c18,004$12,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,896.155,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Fluxo W7M31c4,884$1,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,516.3438841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Fluxo W7M35c3,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22566851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Fluxo W7M1c3,389$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.162,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Fluxo W7M21c2,556$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.396,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked Fluxo W7M21c2,500$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.2519229.2%56 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Fluxo W7M31c2,189$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.533652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Fluxo W7M34c2,100$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.51,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Fluxo W7M1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Fluxo W7M34c1,721$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.1314846.6%69 W · 79 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Fluxo W7M30c1,332$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.781,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed BESTIA68c1,212$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.882,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Fluxo W7M31c1,210$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3794546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Fluxo W7M12c1,051$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.1355039.6%218 W · 332 L-20.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Fluxo W7M37c1,036$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.1875652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Fluxo W7M32c896$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.7217448.3%84 W · 90 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed BESTIA77c824.99$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.031,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed BESTIA67c748.61$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.7146555.1%256 W · 209 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed BESTIA69c735.29$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.9459755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc51f…5dc6backed BESTIA70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2913454.5%73 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked BESTIA77c702.17$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.351,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a3d…13dabacked Fluxo W7M31c700$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2159732%31 W · 66 L-11.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-36%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9015…281fbacked Fluxo W7M30c620.56$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.176854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Fluxo W7M32c599.23$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.2699148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbe…1f4abacked BESTIA70c571.43$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.436555.4%36 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Fluxo W7M32c515$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.85954.2%32 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcaeb…92f6backed BESTIA63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1854057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked BESTIA79c410.46$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.29848%47 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Fluxo W7M35c351.04$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8758343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked BESTIA64c338.75$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.751,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Fluxo W7M15c305.43$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.484,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Fluxo W7M30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9013354.9%73 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec8c…3bcdbacked Fluxo W7M34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10235131.1%109 W · 242 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Fluxo W7M33c298.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019443.3%84 W · 110 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Fluxo W7M5c291$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5438032.1%122 W · 258 L-18.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked BESTIA78c290.78$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.421,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked BESTIA73c286.17$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.42,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Fluxo W7M11c274.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7437922.2%84 W · 295 L-43.1wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-47.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Fluxo W7M12c270.74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.092,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Fluxo W7M32c266.89$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.761,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Fluxo W7M33c264.27$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2152150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Fluxo W7M17c259.71$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3988330.7%271 W · 612 L-63.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BESTIA80c257.26$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.361,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed Fluxo W7M36c250$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed Fluxo W7M31c250$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.529246.9%137 W · 155 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa485…a7d5backed Fluxo W7M14c249.98$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Fluxo W7M31c241.46$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.0577351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Fluxo W7M32c234.37$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked Fluxo W7M35c228.57$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013332.3%43 W · 90 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Fluxo W7M34c227.06$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.235839.4%141 W · 217 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Fluxo W7M20c226$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.842,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Fluxo W7M14c211.15$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.032,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Fluxo W7M10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Fluxo W7M18c196.05$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.121,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Fluxo W7M24c193.96$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.780740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Fluxo W7M13c182.82$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.521,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Fluxo W7M22c180.41$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.981,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Fluxo W7M20c171.95$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.412,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0593…9712backed BESTIA69c163.13$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5828173%205 W · 76 L+21.6wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa0d5…9727backed Fluxo W7M31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017438.5%67 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e69…30a0backed Fluxo W7M32c154$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.781040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked BESTIA71c153.1$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.435466.1%234 W · 120 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Fluxo W7M38c151.87$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7161154.7%334 W · 277 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd194…c51fbacked BESTIA70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Fluxo W7M22c141$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.022,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f4…81a6backed Fluxo W7M15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20806.3%5 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-63.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed BESTIA78c132.3$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1362248.2%300 W · 322 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde30…3159backed Fluxo W7M32c131.25$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4224260.3%146 W · 96 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Fluxo W7M24c119.41$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.174,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BESTIA67c109.94$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.745,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked BESTIA67c108.1$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6732458%188 W · 136 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked BESTIA68c100.59$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1958149.2%286 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed Fluxo W7M31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3117041.2%70 W · 100 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e50…4b22backed BESTIA62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385846.6%27 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ed1…908cbacked Fluxo W7M31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3120637.9%78 W · 128 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fluxo W7M12c91.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.657,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Fluxo W7M38c90.49$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3944552.4%233 W · 212 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Fluxo W7M15c87.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9975438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Fluxo W7M23c86.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.192,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Fluxo W7M35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018647.3%88 W · 98 L-0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc28f…2d4cbacked Fluxo W7M24c85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked BESTIA71c83.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.133459%197 W · 137 L+24.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5867…2e20backed Fluxo W7M33c82.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6921636.1%78 W · 138 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed BESTIA67c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.445748.1%220 W · 237 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked BESTIA72c76.91$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.440140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ad…34cebacked BESTIA79c70.89$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.895451.9%28 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Fluxo W7M33c68.84$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4324054.6%131 W · 109 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab56…e635backed Fluxo W7M33c68.18$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76bb…4548backed BESTIA75c67.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0422555.6%125 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked BESTIA79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2910454.8%57 W · 47 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b3…4a99backed Fluxo W7M32c63.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029731%92 W · 205 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Fluxo W7M32c62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8425643.4%111 W · 145 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked BESTIA73c61.4$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4363038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe77…8fe4backed Fluxo W7M31c59.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5716351.5%84 W · 79 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9702…ca89backed Fluxo W7M30c59.89$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.81616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid+46.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x28ac…2fb7backed BESTIA76c59$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9717866.3%118 W · 60 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91df…fd49backed BESTIA70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1415966%105 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed BESTIA79c54.83$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.512,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9755…ab85backed Fluxo W7M36c54.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.628737.9%33 W · 54 L-9.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed BESTIA67c53.18$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5537453.2%199 W · 175 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.