CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Fluxo W7M - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bef22212f74f9b7793b1ebae43c3c5d937849c2778639023ec609abf7687539
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof BESTIA, Fluxo W7M
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked BESTIA | 61c | 2,637$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.67 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Fluxo W7M | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Fluxo W7M | 13c | 1,432$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.37 | 1,041 | 53.1%553 W · 488 L | +63.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed BESTIA | 61c | 1,424$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.2 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BESTIA | 66c | 802.7$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.13 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Fluxo W7M | 45c | 674.21$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.5 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd6…9d99backed Fluxo W7M | 48c | 603.5$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.98 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Fluxo W7M | 38c | 530.84$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.72 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fluxo W7M | 41c | 527.17$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.14 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed BESTIA | 74c | 339.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.98 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2054…e7d6backed Fluxo W7M | 44c | 338$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Fluxo W7M | 30c | 291.06$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BESTIA | 69c | 263.92$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.7 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Fluxo W7M | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.98 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Fluxo W7M | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 294 | 47.3%139 W · 155 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fluxo W7M | 26c | 240.15$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Fluxo W7M | 40c | 240$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Fluxo W7M | 41c | 224$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.74 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Fluxo W7M | 48c | 221.9$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.51 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked BESTIA | 59c | 216$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.35 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed BESTIA | 59c | 216$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.61 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked BESTIA | 58c | 216$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.17 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed BESTIA | 61c | 209$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.8 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed BESTIA | 51c | 207.96$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.89 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Fluxo W7M | 37c | 200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 921 | 45.8%422 W · 499 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked BESTIA | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed Fluxo W7M | 32c | 191.79$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed BESTIA | 79c | 187.93$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.09 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed BESTIA | 57c | 175.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.18 | 281 | 73%205 W · 76 L | +21.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Fluxo W7M | 42c | 174$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.18 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Fluxo W7M | 41c | 163.92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf274…443ebacked Fluxo W7M | 33c | 163.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Fluxo W7M | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.53 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked BESTIA | 66c | 146.44$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed BESTIA | 69c | 130.96$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Fluxo W7M | 30c | 123.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked BESTIA | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 412 | 54.9%226 W · 186 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked BESTIA | 60c | 110$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked BESTIA | 74c | 106$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Fluxo W7M | 28c | 103.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 702 | 42.2%296 W · 406 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fluxo W7M | 26c | 99.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed BESTIA | 78c | 97.56$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed BESTIA | 64c | 94.62$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BESTIA | 60c | 93.8$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed BESTIA | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 404 | 55.4%224 W · 180 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed BESTIA | 55c | 88.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 659 | 46.9%309 W · 350 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Fluxo W7M | 50c | 83.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fluxo W7M | 47c | 75.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Fluxo W7M | 39c | 73.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed Fluxo W7M | 39c | 69.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed Fluxo W7M | 39c | 53.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Fluxo W7M | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Fluxo W7M | 27c | 49.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed BESTIA | 61c | 43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked BESTIA | 74c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed BESTIA | 75c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Fluxo W7M | 31c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Fluxo W7M | 47c | 36.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 531 | 45.4%241 W · 290 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…920bbacked Fluxo W7M | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed BESTIA | 76c | 31.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Fluxo W7M | 36c | 30.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Fluxo W7M | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 321 | 38.6%124 W · 197 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked BESTIA | 56c | 29.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc95e…102abacked BESTIA | 76c | 26.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed BESTIA | 76c | 25.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed BESTIA | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked BESTIA | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed BESTIA | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7d…0fa8backed BESTIA | 77c | 17.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked BESTIA | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed BESTIA | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked BESTIA | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Fluxo W7M - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - RES Showdown South America PlayoffsBESTIA won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Fluxo W7M - Map 2 WinnerBESTIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)BESTIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.