Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FOKUS vs Pixel Lumina (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc130294ebf36435ca16eb9448bea2386c98a8de49f000062fd1f4f094360e1b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pixel Luminaof FOKUS, Pixel Lumina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Pixel Lumina | 25c | 1,158$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.61 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed FOKUS | 77c | 1,007$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.28 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked FOKUS | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaeb…92f6backed Pixel Lumina | 23c | 982$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.14 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked Pixel Lumina | 49c | 643.49$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.19 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Pixel Lumina | 20c | 471.94$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.39 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked FOKUS | 53c | 470.82$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.92 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked FOKUS | 65c | 439.81$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.31 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Pixel Lumina | 44c | 394.11$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.73 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…a638backed Pixel Lumina | 25c | 255.47$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.64 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…5709backed Pixel Lumina | 25c | 249.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.49 | 322 | 45.7%147 W · 175 L | +52.2wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Pixel Lumina | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…929bbacked FOKUS | 66c | 176.39$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FOKUS | 48c | 169.61$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.68 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed FOKUS | 80c | 161$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.43 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked FOKUS | 51c | 146.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.51 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed FOKUS | 51c | 143.55$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked FOKUS | 74c | 142.91$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.43 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e44…affebacked Pixel Lumina | 15c | 142.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.94 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked FOKUS | 51c | 139.81$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.07 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FOKUS | 65c | 113.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.56 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed FOKUS | 65c | 112.87$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.52 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed FOKUS | 75c | 111$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.76 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -15.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FOKUS | 59c | 99.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked FOKUS | 45c | 90.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Pixel Lumina | 24c | 85.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.84 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed FOKUS | 60c | 80.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…63d4backed Pixel Lumina | 53c | 65.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Pixel Lumina | 26c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…667bbacked FOKUS | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…d93fbacked FOKUS | 76c | 54.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…45eabacked Pixel Lumina | 46c | 53.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FOKUS | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Pixel Lumina | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked FOKUS | 75c | 43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea9…9248backed Pixel Lumina | 54c | 37.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Pixel Lumina | 34c | 36.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked FOKUS | 65c | 34.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 183 | 3.3%6 W · 177 L | -73.1wins | -0.40per pick | 43cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 11-0.35 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed FOKUS | 66c | 27.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked FOKUS | 77c | 25.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…e161backed FOKUS | 79c | 25.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53c9…234dbacked FOKUS | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ab…14e7backed FOKUS | 66c | 16.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked FOKUS | 76c | 13.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed FOKUS | 77c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FOKUS vs Pixel Lumina (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group Athis page
- Map Handicap: FKS (-1.5) vs Pixel Lumina (+1.5)Pixel Lumina won
- Valorant: FOKUS vs Pixel Lumina - Map 1 WinnerPixel Lumina won
- Valorant: FOKUS vs Pixel Lumina - Map 2 WinnerFOKUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.