Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c18567d5af39c6406bb723c3bda8621a70cec7f24b536543f08669c3aacccfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Team Yandex, Inner Circle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Inner Circle | 21c | 3,904$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.91 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Inner Circle | 15c | 3,600$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.96 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Inner Circle | 16c | 3,600$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Inner Circle | 10c | 3,420$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.96 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Inner Circle | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Inner Circle | 16c | 2,483$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.96 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Team Yandex | 77c | 2,169$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.83 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Inner Circle | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Inner Circle | 15c | 1,702$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.39 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Inner Circle | 13c | 1,294$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.27 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Inner Circle | 15c | 1,287$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Inner Circle | 12c | 1,160$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked Inner Circle | 13c | 1,144$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 224 | 38.8%87 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Inner Circle | 14c | 1,143$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Inner Circle | 11c | 1,124$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.62 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ea…863dbacked Inner Circle | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…e95dbacked Inner Circle | 17c | 991.67$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.1 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Inner Circle | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Inner Circle | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Inner Circle | 13c | 565.68$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.47 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Yandex | 80c | 560.25$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.33 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Inner Circle | 14c | 550$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Team Yandex | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Inner Circle | 13c | 457.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Inner Circle | 10c | 456.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd72…a7e9backed Inner Circle | 8c | 376.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Inner Circle | 11c | 356.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Inner Circle | 14c | 350$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…914abacked Inner Circle | 11c | 330$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Inner Circle | 15c | 326.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Inner Circle | 14c | 263.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Inner Circle | 19c | 263$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Inner Circle | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 162 | 43.2%70 W · 92 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Inner Circle | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Inner Circle | 12c | 222$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…b50bbacked Inner Circle | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Inner Circle | 22c | 175.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Inner Circle | 9c | 174.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f0…6da2backed Inner Circle | 14c | 173.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86bf…a172backed Inner Circle | 11c | 147.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Team Yandex | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Inner Circle | 15c | 124.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Inner Circle | 15c | 113.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4936…04cbbacked Inner Circle | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ab…14e7backed Inner Circle | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…b6e9backed Inner Circle | 18c | 88.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Inner Circle | 14c | 84.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2c…0fcdbacked Inner Circle | 19c | 76.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Inner Circle | 19c | 58.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 279 | 52.3%146 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Inner Circle (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group DTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Inner Circle - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.