Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Inner Circle (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf36c2cefe44316d91acc28f88b54a1b5eb7d860f0c007938262707e8d1dc02d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Team Yandex, Inner Circle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex | 79c | 5,000$3,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.04 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Inner Circle | 21c | 4,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Inner Circle | 12c | 737.43$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.73 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe96f…22a2backed Inner Circle | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…97c2backed Inner Circle | 20c | 496.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.21 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Inner Circle | 9c | 478.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Inner Circle | 16c | 438.56$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…6e3fbacked Inner Circle | 19c | 306.2$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Inner Circle | 17c | 304.56$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Inner Circle | 15c | 300$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd72…a7e9backed Inner Circle | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Inner Circle | 13c | 235.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Inner Circle | 5c | 210.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Inner Circle | 15c | 135$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…26d7backed Inner Circle | 18c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Inner Circle | 16c | 93.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 115 | 3.5%4 W · 111 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Inner Circle | 17c | 85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Inner Circle | 18c | 66.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…c1c4backed Inner Circle | 18c | 54.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Inner Circle (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Dthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Inner Circle - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Inner Circle - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.