TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Mandatory vs la Masia - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mandatoryof Mandatory, la Masia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,102
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,351

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,102 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x904e…0becbacked Mandatory66c203.95$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.331,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed la Masia37c195$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.997533.3%25 W · 50 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Mandatory66c186.35$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.461,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed la Masia22c106.36$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4110159.4%60 W · 41 L+11.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed la Masia32c75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2419546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Mandatory68c69$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0866650.8%338 W · 328 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa091…f1c1backed la Masia40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x89ab…14e7backed la Masia30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181850%9 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Mandatory80c53$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.61,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked la Masia28c42.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8540731.7%129 W · 278 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Mandatory62c17.11$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4621951.6%113 W · 106 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Mandatory77c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.51,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.