TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Mandatory vs la Masia (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group C

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mandatoryof Mandatory, la Masia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,821
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,440

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,821 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2276…efd0backed Mandatory71c6,564$4,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,871.413177.4%24 W · 7 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed la Masia28c4,013$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.7519040%76 W · 114 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa413…6c4abacked Mandatory74c2,711$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.031450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e38…2a58backed Mandatory72c2,079$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.064273.8%31 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed la Masia24c1,849$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.341,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed la Masia28c1,269$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.23444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked la Masia27c1,162$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.3884838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed la Masia14c1,145$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.4523732.9%78 W · 159 L-20.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked la Masia27c1,100$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29228743.2%124 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3202…6a46backed la Masia26c999.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x050e…d92fbacked Mandatory75c938.61$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.614560%27 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked la Masia26c858.57$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.2311450%57 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed la Masia28c706.77$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.1517640.3%71 W · 105 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69f2…a80dbacked Mandatory74c572$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.726668.2%45 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9388…0321backed la Masia32c500$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed la Masia27c464.67$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.414736.2%17 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1448…e868backed la Masia28c414.29$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1152138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6297…1e59backed Mandatory70c413.72$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.122944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffda…c1fcbacked Mandatory73c379.57$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.48757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Mandatory70c359.83$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9586747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcaeb…92f6backed Mandatory73c343.09$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.633834.2%13 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8731…2c12backed la Masia27c311.11$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-55.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked la Masia17c287.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6950944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91d5…8a03backed Mandatory74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.276454.7%35 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed la Masia26c250$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6593148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed la Masia30c250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7513446.3%62 W · 72 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed la Masia13c225$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2522344.4%99 W · 124 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d72…02d0backed la Masia26c221.76$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.661520%3 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed la Masia26c205.5$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.432634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c8b…7a07backed Mandatory69c200$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.510664.2%68 W · 38 L+10.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed la Masia27c188.67$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.948744.8%39 W · 48 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b8a…76a2backed la Masia28c175$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed la Masia10c139.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0677929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked la Masia26c126$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.560154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mandatory73c123.79$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.851,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed la Masia28c120.36$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.712138.8%47 W · 74 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked la Masia11c113.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9618148.6%88 W · 93 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked Mandatory73c109.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.591580%12 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Mandatory62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3834443.3%149 W · 195 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked la Masia11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1155637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed la Masia12c88.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7513225%33 W · 99 L-18.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-48.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Mandatory72c82.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8613043.8%57 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed la Masia27c76.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.722737%10 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed la Masia32c76.47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4766650.8%338 W · 328 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7322…9f57backed Mandatory75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.673458.8%20 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf21…667bbacked la Masia26c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.63647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d94…cc42backed la Masia26c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-54.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a3d…13dabacked la Masia27c59$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.932330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked la Masia28c53.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520553.2%109 W · 96 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed la Masia28c51$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2820248.5%98 W · 104 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Mandatory78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1152050%260 W · 260 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Mandatory78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1155348.3%267 W · 286 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Mandatory78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1179650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked la Masia24c49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9490733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xac06…f93dbacked la Masia25c47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.754334.9%15 W · 28 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-28.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked la Masia31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.420138.3%77 W · 124 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58d2…0de7backed Mandatory73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41090%9 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick66cpaid+35.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x27a4…d44cbacked Mandatory74c27.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.23154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.