Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Kenya vs Rwanda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc19bed6b011b362019c3e696f38c9d4174a400c81f94a6075e57b1a2f989cd98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rwandaof Kenya, Rwanda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rwanda | 38c | 2,508$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.54 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Kenya | 67c | 1,740$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.61 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 62cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Rwanda | 20c | 968.59$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.37 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Rwanda | 47c | 948.56$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.02 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Rwanda | 37c | 591.36$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.11 | 442 | 41%181 W · 261 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Rwanda | 47c | 573.57$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.02 | 250 | 40.8%102 W · 148 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kenya | 45c | 525.66$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.23 | 510 | 47.6%243 W · 267 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4692…0619backed Rwanda | 65c | 476.28$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.77 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5afe…af69backed Kenya | 68c | 441.46$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Rwanda | 29c | 438.06$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.76 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rwanda | 16c | 437.22$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.13 | 639 | 46.5%297 W · 342 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Kenya | 74c | 307.32$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.42 | 175 | 60%105 W · 70 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f4…e6d4backed Kenya | 67c | 299.41$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…a20dbacked Kenya | 29c | 299$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.37 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x314e…af4ebacked Kenya | 13c | 293.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Rwanda | 29c | 276.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.27 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad4…f62bbacked Rwanda | 31c | 274.03$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.03 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…4129backed Rwanda | 37c | 254.08$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +169.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Kenya | 70c | 224$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 380 | 48.2%183 W · 197 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Kenya | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.72 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed Rwanda | 52c | 219.57$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf37…2454backed Kenya | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5616…64cdbacked Rwanda | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.36 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +10.4wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…4a04backed Rwanda | 26c | 186.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.82 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Rwanda | 57c | 154.62$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.13 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…7013backed Kenya | 42c | 143.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Kenya | 46c | 136.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…bb68backed Kenya | 22c | 136.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Kenya | 42c | 126.28$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6536…f1d2backed Kenya | 72c | 121.83$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.47 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e66…2cd4backed Kenya | 25c | 119.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bef…46c6backed Kenya | 23c | 119.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520d…e474backed Kenya | 77c | 119$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5713…a086backed Kenya | 39c | 115.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…b510backed Kenya | 66c | 113.03$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Rwanda | 33c | 110.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.57 | 682 | 31.2%213 W · 469 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e1…beddbacked Kenya | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb12…d1b3backed Kenya | 60c | 97.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Kenya | 24c | 83.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Rwanda | 19c | 79.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kenya | 47c | 77.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 396 | 44.2%175 W · 221 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Rwanda | 28c | 75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Rwanda | 75c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Rwanda | 23c | 61.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rwanda | 35c | 55.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ef…f1a8backed Kenya | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Kenya | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Rwanda | 28c | 49.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 573 | 37.3%214 W · 359 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Rwanda | 76c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Kenya | 43c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…dea8backed Kenya | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Rwanda | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…b2a6backed Kenya | 75c | 39.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5553…7803backed Rwanda | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Kenya | 62c | 32.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 658 | 50.9%335 W · 323 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19a4…a65bbacked Rwanda | 64c | 30.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Rwanda | 46c | 27.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff5…fdf2backed Rwanda | 75c | 26.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a9…0214backed Rwanda | 63c | 26.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…61bebacked Kenya | 74c | 20.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Kenya | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d39…e756backed Rwanda | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Rwanda | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Rwanda | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c4…898dbacked Kenya | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Rwanda | 75c | 19.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 160 | 66.3%106 W · 54 L | +16.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…ac49backed Kenya | 71c | 18.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Kenya | 74c | 15.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.