Tennis · resolved market
Croatia Open, Qualification: Luca Nardi vs Andrea Guerrieri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5810cf5f53dd162207b1b93467882fc8adc863285ddcd53403002c0a8dccda8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andrea Guerrieriof Luca Nardi, Andrea Guerrieri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5fe…e23dbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 45c | 20,000$9,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,965.92 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Andrea Guerrieri | 45c | 11,613$5,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,429.24 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Luca Nardi | 53c | 8,273$4,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,379.96 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Andrea Guerrieri | 64c | 3,829$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.57 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 72c | 3,711$2,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.88 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Luca Nardi | 41c | 3,448$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Luca Nardi | 57c | 3,167$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.97 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -28%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Luca Nardi | 35c | 2,864$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.37 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Andrea Guerrieri | 74c | 2,801$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.62 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Andrea Guerrieri | 59c | 2,463$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.27 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 42c | 2,346$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.68 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 42c | 1,675$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.5 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Luca Nardi | 48c | 1,663$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.08 | 323 | 33.7%109 W · 214 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Andrea Guerrieri | 60c | 1,516$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.16 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Luca Nardi | 13c | 1,423$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.02 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Andrea Guerrieri | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 226 | 62.8%142 W · 84 L | +15.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Luca Nardi | 33c | 1,000$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.67 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…2970backed Luca Nardi | 32c | 804.62$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…8bd4backed Luca Nardi | 42c | 740$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.16 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Luca Nardi | 22c | 702.67$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.4 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Luca Nardi | 29c | 630.02$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.64 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Andrea Guerrieri | 42c | 614.54$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.63 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Luca Nardi | 31c | 490.32$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Luca Nardi | 32c | 481.62$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.76 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…db95backed Andrea Guerrieri | 54c | 457.83$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.6 | 329 | 52.3%172 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Luca Nardi | 54c | 432.3$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.34 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Andrea Guerrieri | 70c | 418.42$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.02 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Luca Nardi | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Andrea Guerrieri | 69c | 413.32$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.38 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Luca Nardi | 34c | 400$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.63 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Luca Nardi | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Luca Nardi | 41c | 388$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.08 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Andrea Guerrieri | 73c | 362.89$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.67 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed Luca Nardi | 32c | 339.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…d9e2backed Andrea Guerrieri | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Luca Nardi | 29c | 329.43$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Luca Nardi | 35c | 322.53$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.36 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Andrea Guerrieri | 44c | 306.82$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.82 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Luca Nardi | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 801 | 53.1%425 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Andrea Guerrieri | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 43c | 281$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.17 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b98…f9c5backed Andrea Guerrieri | 46c | 272.54$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Luca Nardi | 27c | 268.62$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.42 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Andrea Guerrieri | 56c | 251.58$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.18 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Luca Nardi | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 3.7%2 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Luca Nardi | 33c | 248$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 248 | 56.9%141 W · 107 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Andrea Guerrieri | 43c | 234.56$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.7 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Andrea Guerrieri | 61c | 230.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.42 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Andrea Guerrieri | 74c | 228.2$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Luca Nardi | 57c | 227.69$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.78 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Luca Nardi | 44c | 226.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Luca Nardi | 40c | 224$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.24 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5160…ac0bbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 75c | 223.88$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 104 | 69.2%72 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Andrea Guerrieri | 45c | 222.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.21 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Andrea Guerrieri | 62c | 215.39$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.67 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Andrea Guerrieri | 42c | 210$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Luca Nardi | 42c | 209$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.25 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Luca Nardi | 57c | 203.7$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.11 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Luca Nardi | 23c | 203.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Andrea Guerrieri | 42c | 202.33$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.35 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb0…2329backed Luca Nardi | 40c | 195.33$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Luca Nardi | 54c | 194$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.76 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540f…92bebacked Andrea Guerrieri | 43c | 175$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Luca Nardi | 32c | 173.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Luca Nardi | 31c | 173.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Luca Nardi | 38c | 172.07$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Luca Nardi | 50c | 170$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.95 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Andrea Guerrieri | 68c | 164.91$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Luca Nardi | 37c | 163.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…18e3backed Luca Nardi | 58c | 157.17$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Luca Nardi | 28c | 157.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Luca Nardi | 41c | 153.71$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.95 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Luca Nardi | 55c | 144.81$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.65 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Luca Nardi | 39c | 140.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Luca Nardi | 26c | 134.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked Andrea Guerrieri | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Luca Nardi | 35c | 128$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 277 | 53.4%148 W · 129 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Luca Nardi | 29c | 123.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…667bbacked Luca Nardi | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 214 | 19.6%42 W · 172 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c85…9634backed Luca Nardi | 56c | 117.61$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.86 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Andrea Guerrieri | 43c | 115$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Andrea Guerrieri | 43c | 113$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.41 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Luca Nardi | 55c | 108.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Luca Nardi | 26c | 101.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Luca Nardi | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Luca Nardi | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Luca Nardi | 33c | 97.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Andrea Guerrieri | 43c | 91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Andrea Guerrieri | 43c | 90.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Luca Nardi | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 44c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Luca Nardi | 12c | 88.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Andrea Guerrieri | 43c | 88.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Luca Nardi | 39c | 85.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Andrea Guerrieri | 43c | 83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Luca Nardi | 29c | 82.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked Luca Nardi | 29c | 82.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Luca Nardi | 39c | 79.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Luca Nardi | 42c | 75.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Croatia Open, Qualification: Luca Nardi vs Andrea Guerrierithis page
- Nardi vs. Guerrieri: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Nardi vs. Guerrieri: Match O/U 22.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.