TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Athens Open: Magda Linette vs Mai Hontama

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mai Hontamaof Magda Linette, Mai Hontama
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$320,033
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$341,083

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $320,033 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f65…2036backed Magda Linette52c27,997$14,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,556.974439.8%296 W · 448 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Mai Hontama18c20,000$3,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,404.3837450%187 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Magda Linette52c11,500$5,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,924.4234047.4%161 W · 179 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Mai Hontama47c10,262$4,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,410.448,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f90…90ccbacked Magda Linette52c9,624$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Magda Linette52c9,028$4,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,668.8993740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Mai Hontama17c8,824$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,323.5317452.9%92 W · 82 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Magda Linette80c6,540$5,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,207.063,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Magda Linette56c5,470$3,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,081.231,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mai Hontama51c5,352$2,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,59611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Mai Hontama16c5,136$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,313.9613025.4%33 W · 97 L-13.6wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-28%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Magda Linette57c5,097$2,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,905.134857.2%199 W · 149 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Magda Linette61c4,601$2,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,792.841251%210 W · 202 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Mai Hontama16c4,262$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,586.0172638.8%282 W · 444 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Magda Linette65c3,613$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,339.764,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Mai Hontama30c3,490$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,440.96,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Magda Linette57c3,085$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,758.2821147.9%101 W · 110 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7fe0…ebe1backed Magda Linette56c2,834$1,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.975641.1%23 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Mai Hontama69c2,748$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.0216059.4%95 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e4…07b1backed Magda Linette57c2,281$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Mai Hontama44c2,081$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1753,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked Magda Linette55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.9939438.1%150 W · 244 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26bd…1af5backed Mai Hontama44c1,841$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.4622647.8%108 W · 118 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Mai Hontama49c1,743$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.992,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Magda Linette56c1,524$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.568,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Mai Hontama35c1,429$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.5746030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9340…e829backed Mai Hontama49c1,224$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.494247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Mai Hontama60c1,154$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.654,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Magda Linette52c1,100$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.333,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Mai Hontama18c1,100$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90226546.4%123 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0828…a1a6backed Magda Linette52c1,010$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.0527148%130 W · 141 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ace…c46ebacked Mai Hontama20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80028221.6%61 W · 221 L+0.6wins0.00per pick21cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0d9…f1c5backed Magda Linette50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004318.6%8 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-38.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Magda Linette52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52010358.3%60 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe302…a986backed Mai Hontama34c923.59$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.3619841.9%83 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64f3…34b6backed Mai Hontama41c888$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.925349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Magda Linette57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50087337.1%324 W · 549 L-3.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Mai Hontama49c800$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.79,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Magda Linette53c800$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42783447.5%396 W · 438 L-2.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Magda Linette64c781.25$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013852.2%72 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Magda Linette65c779.4$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.48,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Mai Hontama50c769$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.654,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f55…2181backed Magda Linette42c677.32$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.9712839.8%51 W · 77 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc83…fdd4backed Mai Hontama53c663.85$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.012462.5%15 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+58.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Mai Hontama40c600$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36331237.8%118 W · 194 L-24.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Mai Hontama47c599.99$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.9911637.1%43 W · 73 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Magda Linette25c587$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.451,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc28f…d02bbacked Mai Hontama48c574.71$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.726233.9%21 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4890…03f1backed Magda Linette42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2109916.2%16 W · 83 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe07b…b7c9backed Mai Hontama50c498$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24915456.5%87 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Magda Linette34c467.91$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.091,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ce8…4dd6backed Magda Linette40c445$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17857950.9%295 W · 284 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed Magda Linette76c418.68$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.219048.4%92 W · 98 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Mai Hontama37c412.36$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.9166831.3%209 W · 459 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Magda Linette55c411.39$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.655,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83c3…f740backed Mai Hontama35c403.65$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.0917224.4%42 W · 130 L-16.4wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-53.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Mai Hontama18c400$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3292,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d79…9e95backed Mai Hontama50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20014852.7%78 W · 70 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked Magda Linette61c388.52$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23722245.9%102 W · 120 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Magda Linette52c385.18$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4711…61b3backed Magda Linette79c384.89$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.127374%54 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x500e…6118backed Magda Linette58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023965.3%156 W · 83 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Mai Hontama18c339.44$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.344,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Mai Hontama18c332.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.0534655.2%191 W · 155 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Mai Hontama45c322.08$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.9792145.2%416 W · 505 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Magda Linette79c316.46$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Mai Hontama17c299.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2492,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Mai Hontama46c288.76$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.3382958.1%482 W · 347 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Mai Hontama61c277.95$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.564,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Magda Linette54c267.44$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.5394447.7%450 W · 494 L+34.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed Mai Hontama18c256.81$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.592128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Mai Hontama51c255.57$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.3139751.4%204 W · 193 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Mai Hontama26c250.84$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.491,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Magda Linette57c242.77$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.4887741.3%362 W · 515 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf651…53a1backed Magda Linette66c235.64$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.371855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Magda Linette29c226.78$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.691,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Magda Linette57c215.87$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.4914259.2%84 W · 58 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Magda Linette49c204.7$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5699244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Magda Linette64c203.66$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.342,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked Mai Hontama49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1024100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+73.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Magda Linette58c193.1$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11258931.1%183 W · 406 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Magda Linette52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10068157.6%392 W · 289 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee4f…daa3backed Magda Linette53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020332.5%66 W · 137 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Magda Linette38c176.95$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.822,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Magda Linette63c175.53$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.711,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4de…672abacked Mai Hontama18c166.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.676336.5%23 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cb…3bbebacked Mai Hontama49c165.06$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7614856.8%84 W · 64 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Magda Linette53c164.98$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1933557%191 W · 144 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Mai Hontama46c164.41$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.91,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58ac…7636backed Mai Hontama12c161.9$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.474531.1%14 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc86e…8dfcbacked Magda Linette57c159.6$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.974257.1%24 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd7c…18d3backed Mai Hontama43c157.51$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.69329.4%3 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-78.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e70…4b2abacked Magda Linette66c151.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Magda Linette50c151.04$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.441,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Magda Linette20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3068430%205 W · 479 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5142…0845backed Mai Hontama31c148.38$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.3813248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ba7…dd5abacked Magda Linette69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017554.3%95 W · 80 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Mai Hontama33c138.95$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.972,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x341d…2995backed Magda Linette78c137.92$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1531161.1%190 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Mai Hontama18c133.25$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.531,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.