Asian League · resolved market
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-06-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93eaacc61ec949436b61df17d0bcba4e6bd8067d78caaff9408ee3ea9596d761
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd24f…d0a8backed Yes | 54c | 5,070$2,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,738 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 59c | 4,143$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.71 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 46c | 3,914$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.87 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa81…44a9backed Yes | 55c | 2,850$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.1 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 55c | 1,455$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Yes | 38c | 1,317$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 46c | 1,051$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.95 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 551.31$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.02 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 48c | 516.38$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.52 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 56c | 459.47$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.41 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…a20dbacked Yes | 37c | 418.92$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…3bc2backed Yes | 13c | 399.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 60c | 393.61$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.69 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Yes | 52c | 278.85$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 52c | 262.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.47 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 32c | 225$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed No | 49c | 179.59$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.59 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 170.05$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.1 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ce…fd49backed Yes | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 45c | 145.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 36c | 105$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 52c | 104.63$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Yes | 36c | 102.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Yes | 55c | 98.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 14c | 91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 45c | 87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 46c | 86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Yes | 49c | 80.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab9…5be4backed Yes | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed No | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…b32ebacked Yes | 37c | 66.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed No | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc596…5f40backed Yes | 52c | 56.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa72b…6834backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 77c | 54.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…afc3backed Yes | 53c | 49.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed No | 47c | 42.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 48c | 39.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 52c | 38.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 67c | 37.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 49c | 35.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 47c | 32.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…d3bfbacked Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed No | 45c | 24.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Yes | 51c | 23.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7160…cce2backed No | 79c | 23.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 62c | 17.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 70c | 14.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-06-06?this page
- Will Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kyōto Sanga FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-06-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.