Asian League · resolved market
Will Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kyōto Sanga FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4852998e5950b201e8e35128b3f0c8ce848dfe32c227989f666df494f652411
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 8,579$6,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.88 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 33c | 3,071$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 26c | 2,100$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.61 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…a9aabacked Yes | 38c | 1,742$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 21c | 1,523$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.97 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 40c | 982.5$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 61c | 805.73$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.21 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed No | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Yes | 39c | 700$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 33c | 498.12$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.27 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…2fa1backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 28c | 284.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.68 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 40c | 282.5$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 179.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4b…7a73backed No | 66c | 150.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 71c | 138.04$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 31c | 132.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Yes | 29c | 120.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed No | 61c | 105.95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 33c | 89.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 67c | 85.71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 68c | 82.42$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 28c | 70.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Yes | 34c | 64.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 22c | 61.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Yes | 36c | 51.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 72c | 46.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed No | 70c | 42.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7160…cce2backed No | 66c | 36.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 72c | 35.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 73c | 33.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 72c | 22.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a4…cdb9backed No | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed No | 72c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…839bbacked No | 72c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kyōto Sanga FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-06-06?No won
- Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-06-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.