Asian League · resolved market
Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-06-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ea9b48255aa993a154dc97c4ac825af1a80b8dfece25c7295be609322e9dac3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 75c | 8,493$6,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.17 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 32c | 5,058$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.48 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 68c | 4,500$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked No | 16c | 2,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…c9dabacked Yes | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 41c | 1,575$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.77 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked No | 29c | 1,379$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 22c | 1,200$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.28 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 28c | 1,033$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.76 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 27c | 852.93$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.15 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 27c | 740.52$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.52 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 24c | 527.6$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.83 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed No | 18c | 505.24$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5afe…af69backed Yes | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 34c | 316.4$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.76 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ce…7765backed No | 73c | 304.11$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Yes | 65c | 264.27$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.49 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +6.7wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 21c | 246.14$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 40c | 219.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.39 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 28c | 210.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.71 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 64c | 186$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.09 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa021…d5c9backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 46c | 163.1$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.38 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 73c | 158.02$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.69 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 51c | 131.03$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 19c | 117.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 66c | 106.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf685…5ec9backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…b32ebacked Yes | 66c | 98.48$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 61c | 94.63$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 29c | 90.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 38c | 85.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 29c | 81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.28 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 39c | 76.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 24c | 66.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 64.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked No | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 22c | 54.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.54 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed No | 26c | 53.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…24f3backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 62c | 50.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 28c | 46.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 73c | 45.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Yes | 23c | 44.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8d…8611backed Yes | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad45backed Yes | 75c | 41.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 77c | 39.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e07…a5b0backed Yes | 62c | 32.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d32…401cbacked No | 78c | 28.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed No | 48c | 28.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab9…5be4backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 72cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Yes | 55c | 21.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1928…1171backed Yes | 80c | 20.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 60c | 20.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-06-06?this page
- Will Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kyōto Sanga FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-06-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.