Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Evil Geniuses Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadd8cabcd602cb719c23e14e6f9c7d79b91af68f31cc25730a750f537ca51cba

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Shopify Rebellion Blackof Shopify Rebellion Black, Evil Geniuses Academy
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $30,873
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $29,501

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,873 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed Shopify Rebellion Black	69c	20,073$13,904 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,168.7	521	55.5%289 W · 232 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Evil Geniuses Academy	29c	6,533$1,907 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,907.05	1,276	32.1%409 W · 867 L	-67.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Evil Geniuses Academy	30c	2,352$706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$705.62	66	43.9%29 W · 37 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Evil Geniuses Academy	31c	2,100$651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$651	417	34.8%145 W · 272 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Evil Geniuses Academy	31c	1,005$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.55	97	44.3%43 W · 54 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda20…cb8dbacked Evil Geniuses Academy	31c	1,000$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-42%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c27…97c2backed Evil Geniuses Academy	31c	1,000$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Evil Geniuses Academy	31c	1,000$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	83	34.9%29 W · 54 L	-9.0wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Evil Geniuses Academy	30c	886.82$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.67	848	38.2%324 W · 524 L	-50.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Evil Geniuses Academy	31c	815$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.44	190	40%76 W · 114 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed Evil Geniuses Academy	30c	800$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Evil Geniuses Academy	19c	763.47$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.47	544	39.9%217 W · 327 L	+12.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…13dabacked Evil Geniuses Academy	26c	670.2$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.49	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91d5…8a03backed Evil Geniuses Academy	31c	645.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	64	54.7%35 W · 29 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Shopify Rebellion Black	70c	568.82$396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.86	146	53.4%78 W · 68 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Evil Geniuses Academy	30c	548.4$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.13	150	38%57 W · 93 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Evil Geniuses Academy	31c	500$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	53	28.3%15 W · 38 L	-9.3wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xde41…58bdbacked Evil Geniuses Academy	31c	500$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-3.8wins	-0.18per pick	42cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Evil Geniuses Academy	31c	500$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dd5…28f2backed Evil Geniuses Academy	31c	500$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	-4.4wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-29%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3bb6…944cbacked Evil Geniuses Academy	31c	500$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.5wins	-0.27per pick	38cpaid	-81.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe96f…22a2backed Evil Geniuses Academy	31c	500$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabc8…500cbacked Evil Geniuses Academy	31c	441$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.71	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.24per pick	44cpaid	-67%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Evil Geniuses Academy	22c	426.96$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	186	47.8%89 W · 97 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Evil Geniuses Academy	31c	397.57$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.25	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+5.4wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Evil Geniuses Academy	31c	345$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.95	82	43.9%36 W · 46 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa57e…ed54backed Evil Geniuses Academy	31c	335.48$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	-4.7wins	-0.16per pick	40cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed Evil Geniuses Academy	31c	329.4$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.11	160	41.9%67 W · 93 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed Evil Geniuses Academy	23c	309.23$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.95	223	44.4%99 W · 124 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40fc…498dbacked Evil Geniuses Academy	31c	296.77$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2363…a20dbacked Shopify Rebellion Black	70c	228.57$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.57	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed Evil Geniuses Academy	30c	221.43$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.43	58	36.2%21 W · 37 L	-5.5wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked Evil Geniuses Academy	31c	200.9$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.28	72	34.7%25 W · 47 L	-11.0wins	-0.15per pick	50cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x0cf2…423abacked Evil Geniuses Academy	27c	189.32$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.63	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Shopify Rebellion Black	79c	189$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.69	1,309	43.8%573 W · 736 L	-44.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Shopify Rebellion Black	74c	185.06$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.75	1,608	45.2%727 W · 881 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e20…e3c8backed Evil Geniuses Academy	31c	176$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.56	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Shopify Rebellion Black	65c	153.84$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.84	156	46.2%72 W · 84 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Evil Geniuses Academy	31c	153$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.43	62	29%18 W · 44 L	-6.4wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x86ca…bc47backed Evil Geniuses Academy	31c	145.16$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	40cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Shopify Rebellion Black	70c	142.86$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.86	134	55.2%74 W · 60 L	+7.2wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Shopify Rebellion Black	70c	142.86$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.86	628	56.4%354 W · 274 L	-10.6wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Evil Geniuses Academy	18c	137.29$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.95	697	22.8%159 W · 538 L	-94.4wins	-0.14per pick	36cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Evil Geniuses Academy	27c	122$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.94	102	37.3%38 W · 64 L	-6.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed Shopify Rebellion Black	78c	120$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.94	143	45.5%65 W · 78 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6983…88c3backed Evil Geniuses Academy	31c	113.8$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.28	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35f0…971ebacked Evil Geniuses Academy	31c	110$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.1	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Evil Geniuses Academy	29c	100$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	344	43.3%149 W · 195 L	-14.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed Evil Geniuses Academy	31c	100$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+25%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed Evil Geniuses Academy	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	653	47.3%309 W · 344 L	-18.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Evil Geniuses Academy	31c	96.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	139	33.1%46 W · 93 L	-7.2wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Shopify Rebellion Black	69c	95$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.45	116	37.9%44 W · 72 L	-15.5wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Evil Geniuses Academy	31c	80.65$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	155	35.5%55 W · 100 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Evil Geniuses Academy	31c	80.65$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	106	33%35 W · 71 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Shopify Rebellion Black	76c	72.74$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.27	225	39.1%88 W · 137 L	-10.6wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd998…397abacked Evil Geniuses Academy	21c	64.05$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.4	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe77…8fe4backed Evil Geniuses Academy	31c	61.46$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.05	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked Shopify Rebellion Black	65c	61.09$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.38	205	53.2%109 W · 96 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Evil Geniuses Academy	33c	57.98$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.87	666	50.8%338 W · 328 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked Evil Geniuses Academy	30c	55.1$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.53	82	40.2%33 W · 49 L	-8.2wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-21%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Evil Geniuses Academy	35c	50.97$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.84	202	48.5%98 W · 104 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Evil Geniuses Academy	28c	49.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.22	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Evil Geniuses Academy	31c	48.39$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	112	37.5%42 W · 70 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Shopify Rebellion Black	73c	45.55$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.29	158	33.5%53 W · 105 L	-14.5wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-38%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Evil Geniuses Academy	34c	44.09$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.99	130	43.8%57 W · 73 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black	77c	39$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.91	907	33.1%300 W · 607 L	-89.7wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xabe1…af91backed Shopify Rebellion Black	79c	38.43$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.03	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+49.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black	64c	36.11$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	867	47.5%412 W · 455 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5430…fbbbbacked Evil Geniuses Academy	36c	36.11$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	117	54.7%64 W · 53 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black	69c	35$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.85	164	51.8%85 W · 79 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd156…8569backed Shopify Rebellion Black	78c	35$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.8	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	71cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Evil Geniuses Academy	31c	34.22$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.73	930	49.4%459 W · 471 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8a…74d3backed Shopify Rebellion Black	70c	28.57$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.57	41	65.9%27 W · 14 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Evil Geniuses Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffsthis page
Map Handicap: SRB (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses Academy (+1.5)Shopify Rebellion Black won
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Evil Geniuses Academy - Map 1 WinnerShopify Rebellion Black won
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Evil Geniuses Academy - Map 2 WinnerShopify Rebellion Black won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Evil Geniuses Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event