Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Evil Geniuses Academy - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b0830e2c302208b3e44ac5ef81e9c5112363f9c57fdf355f79e8c6d0c40fbec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shopify Rebellion Blackof Shopify Rebellion Black, Evil Geniuses Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 57c | 636.89$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.66 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb379…0d76backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 37c | 627.6$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.69 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1651…470fbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 56c | 542.07$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.56 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x685f…c586backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 65c | 458.37$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.37 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 43c | 326.58$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.25 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 36c | 310.38$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.74 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 57c | 297.51$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.72 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 49c | 265$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.96 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 55c | 239.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.04 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 52c | 211.19$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.39 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 59c | 182.71$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.14 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 47c | 181.34$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.55 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 58c | 164.76$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.76 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 55c | 154.57$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 52c | 108.89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 33c | 103.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 62c | 96.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 46c | 82.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 57c | 72.09$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 56c | 69.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 46c | 61.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d66…aa07backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 51c | 39.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…b250backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 57c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…4596backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 47c | 31.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 44c | 28.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 60c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb09f…6382backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Evil Geniuses Academy - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: SRB (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses Academy (+1.5)Shopify Rebellion Black won
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Evil Geniuses Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 PlayoffsShopify Rebellion Black won
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Evil Geniuses Academy - Map 1 WinnerShopify Rebellion Black won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.