Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Jiang/Xu vs Siegemund/Zvonareva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe410f213d646056c9fd610336d74b0e281678c9613332250fbbd38c1d9d5f98f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jiang/Xuof Jiang/Xu, Siegemund/Zvonareva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Jiang/Xu | 22c | 920.2$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.76 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b0…cdf7backed Siegemund/Zvonareva | 54c | 635.48$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Jiang/Xu | 38c | 625.07$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.47 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Siegemund/Zvonareva | 78c | 443.65$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.05 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Jiang/Xu | 24c | 429$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.86 | 242 | 28.5%69 W · 173 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x065b…714fbacked Jiang/Xu | 31c | 379.31$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Siegemund/Zvonareva | 55c | 362.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Siegemund/Zvonareva | 78c | 331$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.18 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Siegemund/Zvonareva | 16c | 313.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb36…a357backed Jiang/Xu | 18c | 283.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39ce…e2bdbacked Jiang/Xu | 42c | 261.9$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.9 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Jiang/Xu | 55c | 221$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.51 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Jiang/Xu | 26c | 220.29$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.62 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Siegemund/Zvonareva | 73c | 202.19$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.54 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jiang/Xu | 56c | 200.49$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.52 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed Siegemund/Zvonareva | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x029e…b19cbacked Siegemund/Zvonareva | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…3540backed Siegemund/Zvonareva | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…4490backed Siegemund/Zvonareva | 75c | 193.6$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Siegemund/Zvonareva | 11c | 173.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Jiang/Xu | 24c | 150$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…90a8backed Jiang/Xu | 66c | 139.66$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Siegemund/Zvonareva | 61c | 135.47$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.14 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Jiang/Xu | 21c | 121.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Siegemund/Zvonareva | 74c | 115.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.38 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Siegemund/Zvonareva | 76c | 105$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b9…6d67backed Jiang/Xu | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Siegemund/Zvonareva | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…2aacbacked Siegemund/Zvonareva | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…fc1fbacked Siegemund/Zvonareva | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Jiang/Xu | 48c | 98.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.47 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Siegemund/Zvonareva | 72c | 92.84$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Jiang/Xu | 44c | 91.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…8f52backed Jiang/Xu | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Siegemund/Zvonareva | 64c | 65.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Jiang/Xu | 25c | 61.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.68 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Jiang/Xu | 28c | 49.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Siegemund/Zvonareva | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 241 | 59.3%143 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Siegemund/Zvonareva | 52c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…dab8backed Jiang/Xu | 57c | 35.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0b…8202backed Jiang/Xu | 31c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f07…24a0backed Jiang/Xu | 52c | 32.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Siegemund/Zvonareva | 61c | 26.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Siegemund/Zvonareva | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 425 | 45.6%194 W · 231 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd437…ba37backed Siegemund/Zvonareva | 78c | 21.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b86…5552backed Siegemund/Zvonareva | 77c | 18.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.