Tennis · resolved market
Bogota: Sergio Luis Hernandez vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf0eacb777750904a91951c54da58df5cb41817af1954c3a478d05aeadc5d17c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luciano Emanuel Ambrogiof Sergio Luis Hernandez, Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sergio Luis Hernandez | 8c | 14,823$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.85 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Sergio Luis Hernandez | 10c | 5,775$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.32 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Sergio Luis Hernandez | 22c | 1,996$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.03 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Sergio Luis Hernandez | 16c | 756.56$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.05 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb36…a357backed Sergio Luis Hernandez | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Sergio Luis Hernandez | 12c | 416.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Sergio Luis Hernandez | 12c | 411.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 78c | 353.73$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.82 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Sergio Luis Hernandez | 10c | 321.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Sergio Luis Hernandez | 10c | 238.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Sergio Luis Hernandez | 23c | 82.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Sergio Luis Hernandez | 17c | 65.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bogota: Sergio Luis Hernandez vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogithis page
- Set 1 Winner: Hernandez vs AmbrogiAmbrogi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.