Tennis · resolved market
Contrexeville: Francesca Curmi vs Oceane Dodin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa796f3c151b954b558b461c39cc5cb3c715140c7bf9a996a72bbfee2c114ac86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Francesca Curmiof Francesca Curmi, Oceane Dodin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Oceane Dodin | 23c | 23,982$5,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600.72 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Francesca Curmi | 75c | 19,927$14,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,039.27 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Oceane Dodin | 29c | 2,042$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.98 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Francesca Curmi | 72c | 1,844$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.35 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Oceane Dodin | 30c | 1,665$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.52 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Francesca Curmi | 70c | 1,125$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Francesca Curmi | 70c | 1,123$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.32 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Francesca Curmi | 71c | 1,113$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.64 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Francesca Curmi | 76c | 910.88$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.58 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…97f6backed Francesca Curmi | 73c | 723$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.65 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Francesca Curmi | 77c | 562.66$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.24 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Oceane Dodin | 38c | 434.02$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.44 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Oceane Dodin | 4c | 400$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Oceane Dodin | 37c | 395.72$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Francesca Curmi | 65c | 364.96$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.32 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Oceane Dodin | 30c | 299.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.46 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Oceane Dodin | 24c | 286.94$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Oceane Dodin | 22c | 266.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb36…a357backed Oceane Dodin | 21c | 240.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Oceane Dodin | 32c | 231.34$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Oceane Dodin | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Oceane Dodin | 39c | 194.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.45 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Francesca Curmi | 73c | 165.83$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed Francesca Curmi | 62c | 151.19$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.37 | 433 | 47.3%205 W · 228 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Oceane Dodin | 14c | 140.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Francesca Curmi | 68c | 138.72$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Oceane Dodin | 32c | 125.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Francesca Curmi | 70c | 121.54$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Francesca Curmi | 68c | 115$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Francesca Curmi | 78c | 103.9$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Francesca Curmi | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Francesca Curmi | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Oceane Dodin | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…667bbacked Oceane Dodin | 32c | 85.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 214 | 19.6%42 W · 172 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Oceane Dodin | 45c | 84.04$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Francesca Curmi | 68c | 83.97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Oceane Dodin | 19c | 81.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Oceane Dodin | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Francesca Curmi | 63c | 79.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -21.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Francesca Curmi | 62c | 74$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Francesca Curmi | 69c | 73.49$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Francesca Curmi | 62c | 72.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Francesca Curmi | 65c | 64.89$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Oceane Dodin | 23c | 64.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Francesca Curmi | 79c | 63.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…6dbebacked Oceane Dodin | 32c | 61.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 36.6%86 W · 149 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Oceane Dodin | 33c | 61.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Oceane Dodin | 31c | 52.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Francesca Curmi | 79c | 51.95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Oceane Dodin | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Francesca Curmi | 69c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Oceane Dodin | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Francesca Curmi | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Oceane Dodin | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Oceane Dodin | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Francesca Curmi | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Francesca Curmi | 63c | 47.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…f8d9backed Oceane Dodin | 32c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Oceane Dodin | 29c | 46.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Oceane Dodin | 32c | 35.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Francesca Curmi | 75c | 31.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Francesca Curmi | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe750…4850backed Oceane Dodin | 37c | 28.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Francesca Curmi | 75c | 26.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 445 | 52.8%235 W · 210 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e2…c81fbacked Francesca Curmi | 61c | 24.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Francesca Curmi | 70c | 23.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5111…a164backed Francesca Curmi | 63c | 23.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.47per pick | 42cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Francesca Curmi | 64c | 18.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f4…8cf0backed Francesca Curmi | 71c | 17.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…cfbfbacked Francesca Curmi | 70c | 16.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Francesca Curmi | 68c | 16.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Francesca Curmi | 73c | 15.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Francesca Curmi | 66c | 15.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Contrexeville: Francesca Curmi vs Oceane Dodinthis page
- Curmi vs. Dodin: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Curmi vs DodinCurmi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.