South American Leagues · resolved market
Exact Score: Deportivo Toluca FC 3 - 1 Club Necaxa?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x727dbe7300a10d094dcea7281158f7ae823523be8b34b5ed88dd8e714abac396
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed Yes | 8c | 2,818$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,592.56 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…794ebacked No | 8c | 1,533$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.97 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 1,230$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.94 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed No | 57c | 999.73$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 8c | 856.9$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.35 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 54c | 475.34$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.38 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 58c | 251.98$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.12 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 37c | 227.5$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.6 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes | 44c | 166.01$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 12c | 148$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 8c | 140.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b36…6837backed Yes | 9c | 127.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +159.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 46c | 105.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.15 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 23c | 103.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d4…c229backed Yes | 33c | 59.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 36c | 53.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 61c | 46.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed No | 68c | 29.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x975c…6343backed No | 71c | 28.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…4ebcbacked No | 63c | 24.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1d…3fa1backed Yes | 75c | 21.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…002fbacked No | 72c | 17.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfca8…5795backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Deportivo Toluca FC 3 - 1 Club Necaxa?this page
- Exact Score: Deportivo Toluca FC 0 - 0 Club Necaxa?No won
- Exact Score: Deportivo Toluca FC 0 - 2 Club Necaxa?No won
- Exact Score: Deportivo Toluca FC 1 - 0 Club Necaxa?No won
- Exact Score: Deportivo Toluca FC 1 - 1 Club Necaxa?No won
- Exact Score: Deportivo Toluca FC 1 - 2 Club Necaxa?No won
- Exact Score: Deportivo Toluca FC 2 - 0 Club Necaxa?No won
- Exact Score: Deportivo Toluca FC 2 - 1 Club Necaxa?No won
- Exact Score: Deportivo Toluca FC 2 - 3 Club Necaxa?No won
- Exact Score: Deportivo Toluca FC 3 - 0 Club Necaxa?No won
- Exact Score: Deportivo Toluca FC 3 - 2 Club Necaxa?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.