Fifa International · resolved market
World Cup Final: Weather Delay?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80a59e0a891a860a0242ec5d67bd37dddb1f167ad40e075702e8642e1c6b2199
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3403…f041backed Yes | 7c | 3,349$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,053$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x923a…4111backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Yes | 4c | 900$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 5c | 493.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…fd49backed Yes | 3c | 385.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 285 | 33%94 W · 191 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 4c | 316$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbac…f935backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e72…5a40backed Yes | 5c | 292.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 6c | 289.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Yes | 5c | 287$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8699…f6bebacked Yes | 5c | 265$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…36debacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +240.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…c177backed Yes | 5c | 205.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983d…becfbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 7c | 180$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 22c | 90.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.9 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5f…d2d9backed Yes | 24c | 83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…0800backed No | 76c | 83$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.