Champions League · resolved market
FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: FC Petrocub Hînceşti O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae2dfc10f34cd6a55ac732baf56dcaffdf71887046d8504e11f45d1e8a7f9005
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 6c | 2,524$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.37 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 859.63$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.11 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 36c | 801.94$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.7 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 54c | 290.35$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.56 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 46c | 203.36$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 59c | 93.82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 62c | 89.97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 38c | 56.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 38c | 49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7274…5040backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 39c | 32.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Under | 58c | 31.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 62c | 28.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: FC Petrocub Hînceşti O/U 1.5this page
- FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: FC Petrocub Hînceşti O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Petrocub Hînceşti (-1.5)KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë won
- Spread: FC Petrocub Hînceşti (-2.5)KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë won
- Spread: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë (-1.5)FC Petrocub Hînceşti won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.