TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will FC Flora win on 2026-07-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,356
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,365

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,356 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2117…5c26backed Yes37c10,479$3,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8737941.8%33 W · 46 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No63c6,352$4,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.5791537.6%344 W · 571 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes33c5,709$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,879.9324340.7%99 W · 144 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes2c4,345$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.581822.2%4 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes13c3,026$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.44353.5%23 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No67c3,000$2,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.064658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes24c2,556$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.4714532.4%47 W · 98 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc13f…c336backed Yes3c1,983$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.93837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes33c1,959$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.5444647.3%211 W · 235 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No67c1,838$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.471566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes34c1,554$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.4636142.4%153 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes5c1,460$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7437649.5%186 W · 190 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No65c1,250$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.4963346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes3c1,245$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.52520%5 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No68c1,200$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3842560%15 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No68c1,050$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3363966.7%26 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes33c1,050$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.314027.5%11 W · 29 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-37.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xde76…7d17backed No66c1,023$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.781573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+37.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No66c923.06$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.842369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+26.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No68c900$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2883464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes10c847.25$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.561,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed No67c822.59$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.557564%48 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Yes33c644.01$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.4114238%54 W · 88 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb8…067cbacked No66c600$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.741275%9 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+35%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Yes34c589.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.279947.5%47 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes36c523.69$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.1788631.7%281 W · 605 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0482…f72abacked Yes33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1652040%8 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked No75c455.77$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.497236.1%26 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No66c451.03$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.355745.6%26 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No66c378$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5250247.2%237 W · 265 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No66c378$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5260748.4%294 W · 313 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No66c377.99$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5240350.9%205 W · 198 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes5c368.75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.431631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked Yes16c356.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.79933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes34c329.85$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2332843.6%143 W · 185 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39d…aa9dbacked Yes10c303.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994070%28 W · 12 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966858.8%40 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994866.7%32 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No68c294$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.084067.5%27 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No68c288$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.163770.3%26 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa0d5…9727backed Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes38c243.97$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.715545.5%25 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No68c240$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.85366%35 W · 18 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No68c240$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.85257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0ea3…b87fbacked Yes5c229.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1280%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes33c227.46$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2752046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes33c215.15$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719549.5%47 W · 48 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No66c213.54$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.213652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No66c206$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0415349.7%76 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Yes6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.882339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-35.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No65c189.99$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0638142.8%163 W · 218 L-22.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes35c187.47$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.193935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No67c172.75$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.012373.9%17 W · 6 L+6.1wins+0.27per pick47cpaid+62.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4350…fa6cbacked No63c160.32$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Yes10c154.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.794740.4%19 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.54062.5%25 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.53661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No65c149.92$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4943252.3%226 W · 206 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes12c131.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0915442.9%66 W · 88 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Yes34c121.42$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.287842.3%33 W · 45 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No68c120$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.43969.2%27 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes35c115.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2127236.4%99 W · 173 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No67c114$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.624665.2%30 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbdb6…f3fabacked Yes36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa245…2152backed No63c97.43$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes19c92.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2172335.5%257 W · 466 L-28.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No65c88.43$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1465050.2%326 W · 324 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No66c84$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.983461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x593d…198abacked Yes38c80.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x629e…6270backed Yes38c80.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ce1…f476backed Yes24c79.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…db44backed No66c75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd89d…e0debacked Yes36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked No71c67.23$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.617241.7%30 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb70b…1668backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x297d…8941backed Yes33c66.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015236.8%56 W · 96 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205829.3%17 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick29cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabfe…dba6backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x669c…6c54backed No65c54.62$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked No63c54.37$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.125257.7%30 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b80…8b39backed Yes35c50.26$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.59922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5430…fbbbbacked Yes35c49.49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.321050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No65c49.49$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3230656.9%174 W · 132 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Yes32c49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6814942.3%63 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7581…5a95backed Yes35c46.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.12633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c60…01febacked No67c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No68c45$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.418754.5%102 W · 85 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f15…a670backed No65c44.23$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.483268.8%22 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea6…33a4backed Yes34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed No65c43.23$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.275947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3db4…b299backed Yes38c42.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe56…093dbacked Yes33c40.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed No65c36.56$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.889946.5%46 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes33c34.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3135860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes34c32.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.964037.5%15 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-30.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.