TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999 end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$528,272
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$533,048

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $528,272 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2117…5c26backed Yes30c139,664$41,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,724.917941.8%33 W · 46 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed No76c71,600$54,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,107.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes25c29,000$7,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,2502441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked No70c20,264$14,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,078.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab82…abe5backed Yes12c19,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10ab…d33cbacked No70c16,764$11,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,029.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked No74c15,000$11,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9001392.3%12 W · 1 L+5.2wins+0.40per pick52cpaid+84.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No71c14,589$10,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,178.893852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes25c10,305$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.5344647.3%211 W · 235 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No71c9,962$7,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,857.431,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3938…26d7backed No74c8,810$6,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,293.14450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x072f…ffddbacked No70c8,760$6,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32d8…4cf8backed No70c7,113$5,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,104.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfae1…fdc1backed No70c7,107$4,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,132.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c72…7e7ebacked No70c6,480$4,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,915.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed No70c5,095$3,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.571546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9015…281fbacked No70c3,300$2,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No71c3,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8704658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No70c2,999$2,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.6763346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes26c2,982$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.3236142.4%153 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No70c2,696$1,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.713834.2%13 W · 25 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-37.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes25c2,600$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6504129.3%12 W · 29 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No70c2,500$1,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.2517443.7%76 W · 98 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes26c2,250$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.1714532.4%47 W · 98 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes27c2,216$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.288631.7%281 W · 605 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes26c2,061$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.9143252.3%226 W · 206 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes13c2,009$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.691,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes27c1,884$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.454443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Yes27c1,852$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004544.4%20 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No68c1,838$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.091566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes25c1,558$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.6272335.5%257 W · 466 L-28.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes25c1,463$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.834027.5%11 W · 29 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-37.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes27c1,436$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.1552046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No70c1,365$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.5513649.3%67 W · 69 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed No72c1,305$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.497564%48 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cb9…a1fabacked No70c1,284$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-52.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Yes27c1,204$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.569947.5%47 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No71c1,200$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3482560%15 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No71c1,104$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.165143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes26c1,054$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.5824340.7%99 W · 144 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No71c1,050$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.53966.7%26 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed No72c976.13$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.135459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No71c900$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2613464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No71c845.07$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.072369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+26.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e9f…5ee2backed No71c807.04$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Yes29c746$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.25650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9d…3c52backed No70c701.94$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb8…067cbacked No71c600$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1741275%9 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+35%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes11c565.31$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5427236.4%99 W · 173 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes24c548.64$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.1591537.6%344 W · 571 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed No70c526.5$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.951566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+70.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No70c507.92$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.381457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13022245%100 W · 122 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f5e…980bbacked Yes22c495.59$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.03933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes29c478.72$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8346741.5%194 W · 273 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No71c456$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.243043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No71c425.84$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.622564%16 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes19c420.08$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.897236.1%26 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No72c400$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11322552%117 W · 108 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0146…4d51backed No70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked No72c364.12$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.93666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No72c362.42$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.4835860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No71c362$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.1340350.9%205 W · 198 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No71c362$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.1350247.2%237 W · 265 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No71c361.71$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7460748.4%294 W · 313 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa182…3106backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874070%28 W · 12 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876858.8%40 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874866.7%32 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No71c294$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.264067.5%27 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed Yes27c293.03$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802075%15 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No71c288$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.523770.3%26 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed No79c280$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked No69c268.88$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.35560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No70c264$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.214736.1%53 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0ea3…b87fbacked Yes11c251.73$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2880%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No71c240$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.65366%35 W · 18 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No71c240$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.65257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No70c213.52$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.013652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No72c211.6$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6937649.5%186 W · 190 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed No72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+86.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6015349.7%76 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Yes26c181$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9414238%54 W · 88 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No71c180$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.24257.1%24 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No71c180$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.24156.1%23 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No71c180$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.23461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes25c178.84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.57241.7%30 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-31.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No69c160$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.64944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No70c160$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.82556%14 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No71c159.99$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1538142.8%163 W · 218 L-22.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.54062.5%25 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.53063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.53661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1874…594fbacked Yes30c142.4$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed No70c140$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.864143.9%18 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff06…c7d5backed Yes15c134.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Yes30c126.78$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.032560%15 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes22c121.33$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.278845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.