Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 22?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1af3af1548c3ee63b2f94128171b50c1715762d7060cf7e36f9e9eb573cb34b

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: May 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $19,885
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $22,114

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,885 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbda1…827fbacked Yes	47c	1,408$665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$742.57	49	22.4%11 W · 38 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea6b…5ac2backed No	4c	1,119$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7a…ed18backed No	9c	455.4$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.08	221	11.3%25 W · 196 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x044f…d1f1backed Yes	30c	451.45$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.55	327	48.6%159 W · 168 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3690…e16fbacked No	48c	406.48$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.3	48	56.3%27 W · 21 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb4…4e22backed Yes	40c	370.79$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.79	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.3wins	+0.18per pick	52cpaid	+53.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No	16c	361.58$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	122	49.2%60 W · 62 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b13…62d3backed Yes	41c	328.83$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.81	63	36.5%23 W · 40 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes	38c	326.81$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.43	63	30.2%19 W · 44 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No	35c	304.75$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.94	146	56.2%82 W · 64 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x906f…371abacked No	70c	286.97$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.37	75	61.3%46 W · 29 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	68cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84c3…35d4backed No	72c	286.16$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.1	58	53.4%31 W · 27 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2be…ff33backed Yes	37c	274.99$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.37	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ff2…f140backed Yes	34c	258.4$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.73	237	23.2%55 W · 182 L	+6.9wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…6ebdbacked Yes	44c	228.74$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.74	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.56per pick	44cpaid	+128.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc24f…81d3backed No	63c	226.81$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.57	25	56%14 W · 11 L	-3.2wins	-0.13per pick	69cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf73f…ee53backed No	58c	221.03$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.43	120	40.8%49 W · 71 L	+10.2wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+27.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7581…2ca4backed No	7c	217.98$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.54	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.28per pick	22cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e0…28f0backed Yes	70c	185.49$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.49	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3aa6…49a1backed No	76c	184.96$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.35	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.33per pick	67cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No	48c	181.9$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.53	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2612…5289backed No	39c	177.04$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.79	218	44%96 W · 122 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f05…9b05backed No	41c	164.23$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac6c…ff17backed Yes	75c	163.19$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.83	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7b6…0d76backed Yes	51c	162.63$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.15	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a87…a55abacked Yes	34c	158.09$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c2…d53dbacked No	64c	153.05$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.95	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57ef…4b15backed Yes	47c	151.79$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.79	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes	41c	149.7$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.53	103	20.4%21 W · 82 L	-6.7wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes	25c	143.78$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.84	104	14.4%15 W · 89 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb90b…ca12backed Yes	63c	142.38$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.09	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc34f…7d2ebacked No	47c	137.78$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.07	406	48.8%198 W · 208 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	57c	135$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.76	352	58%204 W · 148 L	-4.6wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No	36c	134.71$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.09	116	47.4%55 W · 61 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea6a…3ee2backed Yes	50c	129.99$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.4	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c38…f194backed No	35c	129.99$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.91	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes	42c	125.99$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.25	57	49.1%28 W · 29 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+15%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0999…7e1ebacked Yes	71c	123.8$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.68	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+46%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed No	65c	123.75$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes	27c	120.81$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.29	326	39.3%128 W · 198 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eee…74e8backed Yes	28c	119.99$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.79	70	20%14 W · 56 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae68…064abacked No	66c	117.14$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	50	64%32 W · 18 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdedd…17e1backed No	54c	116.49$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.31	75	60%45 W · 30 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e6…6423backed Yes	45c	111.6$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.6	40	45%18 W · 22 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-23%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4174…18fabacked No	42c	107.06$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.42	54	64.8%35 W · 19 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	74c	105.05$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.06	110	39.1%43 W · 67 L	+5.0wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94b1…27cbbacked No	71c	104.94$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.5	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	68cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27ab…e521backed No	62c	103.84$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.41	70	58.6%41 W · 29 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x65f7…ff15backed No	57c	102.98$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.84	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f12…9424backed Yes	49c	102.28$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.28	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc3…3472backed Yes	43c	101.03$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.71	120	55%66 W · 54 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5964…35dfbacked No	34c	100.98$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.76	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23b2…605cbacked No	70c	100$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.21per pick	64cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes	45c	99.99$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.99	148	42.6%63 W · 85 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb4…b9edbacked No	12c	97.62$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.94	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c98…f6a0backed Yes	63c	93.81$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.15	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5358…c1b2backed Yes	72c	90$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.46	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+90.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50d8…0a0ebacked No	73c	87.41$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.01	35	65.7%23 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	70cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ee…f8bdbacked No	14c	84.94$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.74	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes	56c	78.76$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.76	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x754b…d06abacked Yes	38c	78.02$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.28	57	56.1%32 W · 25 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	43c	75.63$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.17	82	36.6%30 W · 52 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c3…20e0backed No	57c	74.99$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.04	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	29c	74.56$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.91	180	35.6%64 W · 116 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb54e…b2a7backed Yes	43c	72.78$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.62	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes	44c	70.99$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.52	63	46%29 W · 34 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	36c	69.46$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.14	223	55.6%124 W · 99 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9b1…79d7backed No	67c	68.25$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.05	53	83%44 W · 9 L	+5.7wins	+0.11per pick	72cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes	45c	65.04$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.88	169	34.9%59 W · 110 L	+11.4wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd540…f3dbbacked Yes	47c	63.92$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.92	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebf0…2330backed Yes	46c	62.78$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.97	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+40.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c47…79f8backed Yes	33c	62.36$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.9	82	35.4%29 W · 53 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbaa…88a2backed Yes	35c	58.87$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.06	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.9wins	+0.17per pick	28cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No	30c	57.96$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.62	183	48.6%89 W · 94 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f74…8774backed Yes	31c	56.31$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.85	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes	34c	55$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.45	70	30%21 W · 49 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No	66c	54.6$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.2	153	56.2%86 W · 67 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf3c…ddd0backed No	63c	54.57$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.37	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+374.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x942d…278ebacked Yes	27c	54.4$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.5	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	44c	53.99$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.2	141	26.2%37 W · 104 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01a6…59b0backed No	73c	53.68$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.15	32	68.8%22 W · 10 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	62cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x170b…4737backed No	46c	52.81$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.38	45	64.4%29 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x570c…91c5backed No	59c	52.62$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.99	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd4…05ebbacked Yes	26c	50.91$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.91	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6548…9108backed Yes	29c	50.02$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.36	110	53.6%59 W · 51 L	+7.5wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x86d9…98e0backed Yes	58c	50$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.11	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bee…7e78backed Yes	30c	50$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	128	16.4%21 W · 107 L	+6.3wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	+67.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x361c…d705backed Yes	56c	50$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+78.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e41…5e0cbacked No	55c	49.34$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.14	64	37.5%24 W · 40 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f3f…af73backed Yes	41c	48.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.48	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3942…39d7backed No	22c	48.16$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8c8…eb1bbacked Yes	68c	48$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.31	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+38.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes	43c	46.51$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.51	122	38.5%47 W · 75 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe403…8f69backed Yes	63c	46.4$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.16	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed No	64c	45$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	63cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…af97backed Yes	68c	44.23$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.23	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed No	69c	43.01$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.59	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.3wins	-0.33per pick	62cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x94ca…5482backed Yes	71c	42.26$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.26	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+40.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3972…a677backed No	67c	42.02$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.15	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f3e…5337backed No	61c	41.71$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.4	110	45.5%50 W · 60 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 22?this page
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 22?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 22?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 22?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on May 22?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on May 22?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 22?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 22?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or higher on May 22?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 22?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event