Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b47314f93c4047c3c70b3c96c42cb998ddcef1c830a9a5cf071ef1625ce92c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 16c | 1,733$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.26 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 9c | 1,333$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.48 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,097$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.43 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 70c | 815.3$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.28 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 61c | 675.74$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.46 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…66ecbacked No | 80c | 576.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…16b9backed No | 36c | 508.6$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.9 | 183 | 33.3%61 W · 122 L | -17.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 16c | 419.04$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.91 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 25c | 375.5$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.15 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 13c | 361.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c95…8188backed Yes | 16c | 329.61$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.4 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +359.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 20c | 294.49$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.57 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 20c | 287.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.15 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed Yes | 51c | 286.49$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.68 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 48c | 282.27$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.71 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 34c | 263.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.34 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1231…796fbacked No | 18c | 262.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed No | 6c | 243.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ec…fd3fbacked No | 77c | 216.62$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.96 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 50c | 216$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.94 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 31c | 208.72$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed Yes | 29c | 207.69$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.22 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25d0…1515backed Yes | 15c | 204.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 58c | 194.55$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.82 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 45c | 174.47$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.98 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked No | 7c | 174.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 9c | 172.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed Yes | 36c | 171.01$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.75 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 17c | 161.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.54 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 33c | 156$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.02 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbc…cd7bbacked Yes | 71c | 155.48$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 42c | 149.78$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 64c | 144.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 78c | 143.03$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.92 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 13c | 139.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…6a1dbacked Yes | 16c | 126.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.59 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…a30bbacked Yes | 51c | 125.31$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 74c | 122.13$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.22 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…24fabacked Yes | 24c | 120$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.6 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 72c | 117.92$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x139e…a5debacked Yes | 32c | 107.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.64 | 249 | 51.4%128 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…5473backed No | 60c | 107.4$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 61c | 106.58$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.42 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 16c | 103.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.96 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4875…149bbacked Yes | 24c | 103.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 21c | 101.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.25 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 46c | 101$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.7 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…3761backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…453fbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cc…4e1bbacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 49c | 98.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 26c | 97.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…42acbacked No | 73c | 96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.16 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 52c | 94.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb96f…0a1dbacked Yes | 18c | 92.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +459.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 69c | 90.11$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.59 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 22c | 90$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 45c | 82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 78c | 81.15$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 56c | 80.93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 66c | 79.51$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 44c | 75.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…5d01backed Yes | 80c | 69.7$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 26c | 68.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.72 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed Yes | 36c | 66.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 19c | 65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 284 | 56%159 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2697…ea98backed Yes | 19c | 63.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfab…602dbacked Yes | 37c | 63.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 19c | 63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed No | 40c | 59.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 352 | 32.7%115 W · 237 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked Yes | 47c | 57.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…dcd2backed Yes | 24c | 57.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.48 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a0…a0a6backed Yes | 22c | 57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 41c | 56.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 70c | 54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…f19ebacked Yes | 24c | 53.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e7…c2d1backed No | 45c | 50.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762b…d3b9backed Yes | 30c | 50.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab5e…47f6backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 25c | 49.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09e7…1fffbacked Yes | 61c | 49.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 46c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…d8debacked Yes | 62c | 42.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…7017backed Yes | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 656 | 27.4%180 W · 476 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…5ae8backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 55c | 39.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked No | 52c | 38.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 77c | 36.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…12e4backed No | 46c | 35.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x713b…e96abacked No | 80c | 34.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 41c | 34.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…478abacked Yes | 36c | 34.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…ab06backed Yes | 39c | 33.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 43c | 33.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 80c | 33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 67c | 32.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked No | 62c | 31.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.