Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b319ab66fa43b08eeca07ee8fa45e3ccb9014ffd08e23b69eb3cf5f168bff5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 76c | 795.3$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.98 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 9c | 621.9$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.06 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 18c | 408.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 66c | 384.1$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.65 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 4c | 308.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ec…fd3fbacked Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 32c | 299.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…1334backed Yes | 36c | 279.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 4c | 269.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 67c | 231$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.17 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 11c | 222.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6247…0888backed Yes | 10c | 218.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 77c | 172.23$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 14c | 169.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 10c | 165.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 8c | 162.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 471 | 36.5%172 W · 299 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 11c | 159.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 33c | 154.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…079bbacked No | 67c | 148.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 32c | 145.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 33c | 144.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 18c | 135.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 27c | 124.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…fe6cbacked Yes | 11c | 122.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 222 | 36.5%81 W · 141 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 66c | 122.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 32c | 118.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 117.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 34c | 106.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 74c | 105$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 18c | 104.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 33c | 100.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cc…4e1bbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 35c | 96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…a0b0backed Yes | 37c | 94.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…6a1dbacked Yes | 33c | 89.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb5…e19cbacked No | 75c | 88.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | -10.8wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0aa…e8aebacked Yes | 32c | 83.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 79c | 77.03$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 64c | 71.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…a4febacked Yes | 37c | 68.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 27c | 66.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 79c | 66.43$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfab…602dbacked Yes | 33c | 64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3342…a51dbacked Yes | 24c | 62.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 18c | 61.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 34c | 61.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 78c | 59.38$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 20c | 57.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…7451backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 64c | 51.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f94…0b53backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf58a…2a4fbacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe442…1e49backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 542 | 32.3%175 W · 367 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445f…cc13backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab5e…47f6backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…3761backed Yes | 29c | 49.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…453fbacked Yes | 28c | 49.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 33c | 48.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…d9d1backed Yes | 37c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9848…f408backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 80c | 39.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 68c | 37.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 466 | 67.6%315 W · 151 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 68c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf06b…f629backed Yes | 36c | 35.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 74c | 35.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea7…e13fbacked Yes | 33c | 34.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 65c | 32.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 37c | 31.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…9847backed Yes | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…42acbacked No | 67c | 28.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 72c | 26.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be8…75aebacked No | 68c | 21.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…72d1backed No | 73c | 20.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…b0aebacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…2fe3backed No | 73c | 18.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 17.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 76c | 17.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 62c | 16.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 5?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.