Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17cb77c9b90eda5a727dee9c8344ee8b996f2706bdea5fd177124037cb71c37f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 5c | 822.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 4c | 819.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 71c | 815.3$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.72 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 21c | 518.15$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 35c | 499.83$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.94 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 12c | 414.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 63c | 384.1$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.51 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 72c | 368.24$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.31 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 26c | 318.01$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.76 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 34c | 313.36$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.78 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ec…fd3fbacked Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…1334backed Yes | 34c | 254.54$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.07 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed Yes | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.86 | 251 | 75.7%190 W · 61 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 31c | 240.69$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.56 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 22c | 233.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 29c | 224.62$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x103e…78b5backed Yes | 37c | 216$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 161 | 34.2%55 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 27c | 198.17$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 26c | 186.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 77c | 186$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 66c | 185$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 36c | 184.15$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.74 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 10c | 182.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 27c | 180$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 13c | 179.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fc…69a1backed Yes | 31c | 179.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 23c | 175.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa0aa…e8aebacked No | 67c | 173.17$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed Yes | 23c | 164.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 31c | 150.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 31c | 145$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 74c | 138.05$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…fe6cbacked Yes | 13c | 134.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 222 | 36.5%81 W · 141 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 33c | 134.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 39c | 133.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x363b…6ff7backed No | 76c | 132.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 69c | 130.36$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 72c | 127$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 66c | 125.53$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 15c | 121.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 71c | 120.96$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6530…d760backed Yes | 34c | 116.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b0…67c5backed Yes | 28c | 113.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 15c | 109$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 23c | 107.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22d7…608dbacked No | 73c | 106.64$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 71c | 104.12$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 71c | 102.93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb507…7f2abacked Yes | 34c | 102.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cc…4e1bbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 25c | 99.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 62c | 97.68$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 13c | 97.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 77c | 95.14$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 61c | 91.48$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 276 | 69.2%191 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 67c | 91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 72c | 88.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 35c | 88.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…a30bbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 71c | 83.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 27c | 83.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 38c | 82.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 71c | 82.42$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4875…149bbacked Yes | 22c | 77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587a…e43abacked No | 58c | 76.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +125.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 75c | 74.91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 76c | 74.41$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 68c | 73.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 72c | 72.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…8c79backed Yes | 28c | 72.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…a4febacked Yes | 29c | 69.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 71c | 67.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc23…64ebbacked Yes | 34c | 67.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…5ae8backed Yes | 30c | 66.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 20c | 66.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8e64…2604backed Yes | 27c | 65.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…a0b0backed Yes | 32c | 65.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…dcd2backed Yes | 37c | 64.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f6…ae14backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 116 | 63.8%74 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfab…602dbacked Yes | 35c | 59.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2108…2e40backed Yes | 45c | 59.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 27c | 59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 71c | 54.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d39…3e88backed Yes | 34c | 54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 74c | 52.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…fbe4backed Yes | 23c | 51.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed No | 72c | 51.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Yes | 41c | 50.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 257 | 66.1%170 W · 87 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab5e…47f6backed Yes | 42c | 50.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f94…0b53backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…3761backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…1f70backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 542 | 32.3%175 W · 367 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01d…ee2fbacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…453fbacked Yes | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 5?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.