Tennis · resolved market
ITF Focsani: Sophie Greiner vs Daria Yesypchuk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16af8f273a6501d23017fc0c2cc45d5869d0939b85283b7cb41d9da068f596c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daria Yesypchukof Sophie Greiner, Daria Yesypchuk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sophie Greiner | 26c | 3,025$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.32 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Daria Yesypchuk | 67c | 784.29$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.29 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Daria Yesypchuk | 67c | 776.52$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.78 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Sophie Greiner | 28c | 539.25$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.91 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Daria Yesypchuk | 65c | 319.11$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.53 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sophie Greiner | 28c | 253.88$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.77 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Daria Yesypchuk | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Sophie Greiner | 25c | 129.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…6359backed Sophie Greiner | 28c | 104.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Sophie Greiner | 26c | 104.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Daria Yesypchuk | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Sophie Greiner | 27c | 79.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Sophie Greiner | 25c | 69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Sophie Greiner | 29c | 67.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Sophie Greiner | 30c | 49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e7…1fffbacked Daria Yesypchuk | 62c | 48.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Daria Yesypchuk | 71c | 47.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Daria Yesypchuk | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Daria Yesypchuk | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Daria Yesypchuk | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Daria Yesypchuk | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ac…c148backed Daria Yesypchuk | 68c | 21.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Daria Yesypchuk | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.