Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wichita: James Trotter vs Karl Poling
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x416e12f36842c849ac303979632cc1ec2ef28310de1b7e14787219086bfe83e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karl Polingof James Trotter, Karl Poling
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Karl Poling | 60c | 1,417$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.46 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed James Trotter | 42c | 709.29$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.58 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Karl Poling | 45c | 332.39$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.63 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…61f1backed James Trotter | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed James Trotter | 40c | 221.11$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed James Trotter | 47c | 215.43$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.56 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed James Trotter | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed James Trotter | 42c | 164.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Karl Poling | 38c | 152.74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.29 | 904 | 35.7%323 W · 581 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Karl Poling | 27c | 146.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked James Trotter | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 897 | 54.6%490 W · 407 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed James Trotter | 61c | 111.61$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed James Trotter | 34c | 108.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Karl Poling | 37c | 86.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.49 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked James Trotter | 60c | 86.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed James Trotter | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Karl Poling | 40c | 73.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked James Trotter | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Karl Poling | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked James Trotter | 40c | 58.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Karl Poling | 39c | 45.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed James Trotter | 42c | 45.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 329 | 37.4%123 W · 206 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09e7…1fffbacked James Trotter | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked James Trotter | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed James Trotter | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 956 | 58.2%556 W · 400 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Karl Poling | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed James Trotter | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed James Trotter | 66c | 19.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Karl Poling | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 646 | 37.2%240 W · 406 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.