Tennis · resolved market
ITF Monastir: Andre Lukosiute vs Berta Passola
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x304d9ced85ab242136c7a5506513aa87595268667c4cc6625288ea8cbe629e01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Berta Passolaof Andre Lukosiute, Berta Passola
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Berta Passola | 58c | 1,813$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.4 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Andre Lukosiute | 39c | 1,629$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.65 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Andre Lukosiute | 40c | 1,557$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.79 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Berta Passola | 61c | 1,514$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.93 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…f5f7backed Andre Lukosiute | 55c | 1,250$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.5 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked Berta Passola | 45c | 1,250$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.01 | 145 | 31.7%46 W · 99 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Berta Passola | 58c | 435.83$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.13 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Andre Lukosiute | 45c | 431.2$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.71 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e3…8c11backed Berta Passola | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8c…20e4backed Andre Lukosiute | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 102 | 64.7%66 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Andre Lukosiute | 45c | 222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.52 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Berta Passola | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 897 | 54.6%490 W · 407 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Andre Lukosiute | 42c | 175.08$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.27 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Andre Lukosiute | 39c | 109.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7776…1e8cbacked Andre Lukosiute | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Berta Passola | 57c | 94.54$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Berta Passola | 43c | 79.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Berta Passola | 45c | 77.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Andre Lukosiute | 64c | 62.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 433 | 58.4%253 W · 180 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e7…1fffbacked Berta Passola | 55c | 54.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Andre Lukosiute | 41c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Berta Passola | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 197 | 45.7%90 W · 107 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Berta Passola | 45c | 48.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Berta Passola | 45c | 47.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Andre Lukosiute | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f9…1f62backed Andre Lukosiute | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Andre Lukosiute | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked Berta Passola | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Berta Passola | 55c | 34.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Berta Passola | 45c | 29.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Berta Passola | 46c | 27.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Andre Lukosiute | 41c | 24.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 746 | 46.1%344 W · 402 L | -30.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.