Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: DK.C (-1.5) vs Top Esports Challenger (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f88c6e0d1435c149c84054edef8b9da6bf218daa2cbd00af8a84e0f3d51ed09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dplus KIA Challengersof Dplus KIA Challengers, Top Esports Challenger
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Top Esports Challenger | 27c | 8,065$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.62 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Dplus KIA Challengers | 72c | 3,500$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.99 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Dplus KIA Challengers | 72c | 2,842$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.82 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…12c3backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 73c | 2,792$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.89 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Top Esports Challenger | 27c | 1,068$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.42 | 313 | 37.7%118 W · 195 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 74c | 735.54$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.24 | 115 | 67.8%78 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8579…185fbacked Dplus KIA Challengers | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 73c | 479.43$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.45 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Top Esports Challenger | 28c | 433.48$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.19 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc573…c3e5backed Top Esports Challenger | 28c | 389.29$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Top Esports Challenger | 28c | 362.4$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.06 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed Top Esports Challenger | 27c | 349.78$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.44 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Top Esports Challenger | 28c | 327.86$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Top Esports Challenger | 28c | 310.89$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.05 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Top Esports Challenger | 28c | 282.14$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 72c | 280$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Top Esports Challenger | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Top Esports Challenger | 28c | 240$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Dplus KIA Challengers | 74c | 234.36$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.93 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 72c | 216.6$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.65 | 757 | 38.6%292 W · 465 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Top Esports Challenger | 27c | 211.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Top Esports Challenger | 5c | 205.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…0d64backed Top Esports Challenger | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 151 | 43.7%66 W · 85 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Top Esports Challenger | 28c | 194.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Top Esports Challenger | 28c | 190$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Dplus KIA Challengers | 74c | 162.16$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 238 | 80.3%191 W · 47 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Top Esports Challenger | 27c | 144.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Top Esports Challenger | 27c | 144.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed Top Esports Challenger | 28c | 107.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Top Esports Challenger | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…370cbacked Top Esports Challenger | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 474 | 34.8%165 W · 309 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…bc2fbacked Dplus KIA Challengers | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 520 | 62.3%324 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…0c86backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 78c | 61.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 76c | 52.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Top Esports Challenger | 24c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Top Esports Challenger | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 77c | 45.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09e7…1fffbacked Top Esports Challenger | 27c | 43.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked Dplus KIA Challengers | 76c | 38.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 76c | 25.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 332 | 63.6%211 W · 121 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa231…a91ebacked Dplus KIA Challengers | 75c | 22.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…5289backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 74c | 21.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 74c | 18.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…c143backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 75c | 14.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: DK.C (-1.5) vs Top Esports Challenger (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Masters Group ADplus KIA Challengers won
- LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA Challengers won
- LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.