Lol · resolved market
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65ed311157bca135c144703f590151a76556707505f310f77dc196e4aaa0f292
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dplus KIA Challengersof Dplus KIA Challengers, Top Esports Challenger
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa980…30a1backed Top Esports Challenger | 1c | 13,111$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.11 | 441 | 20%88 W · 353 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Top Esports Challenger | 11c | 11,220$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.31 | 326 | 50.3%164 W · 162 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…1ef4backed Top Esports Challenger | 3c | 7,277$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.84 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | +15.4wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Top Esports Challenger | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Top Esports Challenger | 13c | 3,855$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.08 | 479 | 33.2%159 W · 320 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5de…33b5backed Top Esports Challenger | 7c | 2,968$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Top Esports Challenger | 16c | 1,669$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Top Esports Challenger | 17c | 1,241$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Top Esports Challenger | 17c | 847.65$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.35 | 1,320 | 38.6%510 W · 810 L | -66.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Top Esports Challenger | 17c | 747.06$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 440 | 39.5%174 W · 266 L | -25.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Top Esports Challenger | 14c | 695.21$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 610 | 55.7%340 W · 270 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed Top Esports Challenger | 17c | 693.06$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.82 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ec…267dbacked Top Esports Challenger | 17c | 600$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.72 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Top Esports Challenger | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 946 | 44.6%422 W · 524 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Top Esports Challenger | 17c | 411.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…8da4backed Top Esports Challenger | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 418 | 43.8%183 W · 235 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b89…a4cdbacked Top Esports Challenger | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 711 | 57%405 W · 306 L | +40.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Top Esports Challenger | 5c | 380$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 227 | 37%84 W · 143 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…d6eabacked Top Esports Challenger | 13c | 294$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0d…92e9backed Top Esports Challenger | 13c | 294$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Top Esports Challenger | 8c | 273$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 1,658 | 46.9%777 W · 881 L | -25.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Top Esports Challenger | 12c | 249.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 287 | 46%132 W · 155 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Top Esports Challenger | 17c | 240$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Top Esports Challenger | 8c | 215.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 487 | 47%229 W · 258 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Top Esports Challenger | 7c | 210.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 1,476 | 43.6%643 W · 833 L | -31.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Top Esports Challenger | 11c | 181.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…f7d7backed Top Esports Challenger | 14c | 179.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 60 | 11.7%7 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Top Esports Challenger | 15c | 177.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 1,939 | 42.2%819 W · 1,120 L | -46.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Top Esports Challenger | 15c | 177.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Top Esports Challenger | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Top Esports Challenger | 16c | 144.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 609 | 43.2%263 W · 346 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Top Esports Challenger | 15c | 106$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1,571 | 55.1%866 W · 705 L | +80.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f7…aebbbacked Top Esports Challenger | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Top Esports Challenger | 13c | 98.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Top Esports Challenger | 13c | 93.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 2,910 | 38.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L | -120.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed Top Esports Challenger | 17c | 93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…9009backed Top Esports Challenger | 14c | 79.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…7f7abacked Top Esports Challenger | 14c | 78.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 180 | 57.2%103 W · 77 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: DK.C (-1.5) vs Top Esports Challenger (+1.5)Dplus KIA Challengers won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Masters Group ADplus KIA Challengers won
- LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.