Lol · resolved market
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Masters Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25a2b1d644739cc1d15682474bc3ff9f21a0bb03cc3816ce269c6568ca359ad7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dplus KIA Challengersof Dplus KIA Challengers, Top Esports Challenger
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Top Esports Challenger | 9c | 6,344$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.92 | 475 | 33.3%158 W · 317 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Top Esports Challenger | 4c | 4,100$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.3 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Top Esports Challenger | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Top Esports Challenger | 10c | 3,796$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.63 | 411 | 33.8%139 W · 272 L | -28.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…1ef4backed Top Esports Challenger | 1c | 3,333$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | +15.4wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4eb…1a6ebacked Top Esports Challenger | 9c | 2,307$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.47 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Top Esports Challenger | 9c | 2,304$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.36 | 313 | 37.7%118 W · 195 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Top Esports Challenger | 8c | 2,032$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.63 | 780 | 43.1%336 W · 444 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Top Esports Challenger | 9c | 1,491$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.66 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Top Esports Challenger | 5c | 1,414$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 608 | 55.8%339 W · 269 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Top Esports Challenger | 8c | 1,359$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.49 | 1,057 | 46.1%487 W · 570 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Top Esports Challenger | 9c | 1,247$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 306 | 43.1%132 W · 174 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Top Esports Challenger | 10c | 1,151$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.1 | 333 | 32.7%109 W · 224 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…8da4backed Top Esports Challenger | 9c | 1,140$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 413 | 43.6%180 W · 233 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Top Esports Challenger | 10c | 1,080$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 376 | 40.2%151 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Top Esports Challenger | 8c | 1,045$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.95 | 858 | 36.2%311 W · 547 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24dc…25abbacked Top Esports Challenger | 10c | 1,026$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.61 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Top Esports Challenger | 2c | 1,002$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 114 | 0%0 W · 114 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Top Esports Challenger | 10c | 962.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…baa4backed Top Esports Challenger | 10c | 900$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 116 | 27.6%32 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x409e…32febacked Top Esports Challenger | 10c | 828$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Top Esports Challenger | 9c | 800$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf64f…9f48backed Top Esports Challenger | 2c | 740.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Top Esports Challenger | 10c | 690$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c2…c33fbacked Top Esports Challenger | 9c | 680.38$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…e5dfbacked Top Esports Challenger | 10c | 660$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 102 | 23.5%24 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Top Esports Challenger | 9c | 656.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed Top Esports Challenger | 10c | 543.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8915…edcdbacked Top Esports Challenger | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2c…359fbacked Top Esports Challenger | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Top Esports Challenger | 13c | 499.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 89 | 22.5%20 W · 69 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Top Esports Challenger | 9c | 499.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Top Esports Challenger | 10c | 480.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced5…a72bbacked Top Esports Challenger | 10c | 480$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Top Esports Challenger | 4c | 455.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Top Esports Challenger | 10c | 450$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Top Esports Challenger | 9c | 399.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Top Esports Challenger | 9c | 299.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1699…5d32backed Top Esports Challenger | 9c | 281.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Top Esports Challenger | 10c | 219.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781d…201bbacked Top Esports Challenger | 10c | 218.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Top Esports Challenger | 7c | 203.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Top Esports Challenger | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 596 | 47.7%284 W · 312 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Top Esports Challenger | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 221 | 46.6%103 W · 118 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Top Esports Challenger | 11c | 184.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4542…d501backed Top Esports Challenger | 10c | 183.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Top Esports Challenger | 9c | 180.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed Top Esports Challenger | 10c | 173$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Top Esports Challenger | 10c | 172.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 573 | 49.4%283 W · 290 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Top Esports Challenger | 10c | 167.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 478 | 38.7%185 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Top Esports Challenger | 9c | 161.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Top Esports Challenger | 7c | 157.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Top Esports Challenger | 9c | 147.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Top Esports Challenger | 8c | 131.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Top Esports Challenger | 8c | 131.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Top Esports Challenger | 9c | 128$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Top Esports Challenger | 10c | 108$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 218 | 36.7%80 W · 138 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53fd…8d41backed Top Esports Challenger | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -7.5wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6e…2a09backed Top Esports Challenger | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…28dbbacked Top Esports Challenger | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…e138backed Top Esports Challenger | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…268dbacked Top Esports Challenger | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Masters Group Athis page
- Game Handicap: DK.C (-1.5) vs Top Esports Challenger (+1.5)Dplus KIA Challengers won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA Challengers won
- LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.