Tennis · resolved market
ITF Caserta: Nastasja Schunk vs Alessandra Mazzola
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0a7be80612cddc61f3d65e0f142899c3a3a839fbbfb82f18a8bd0abb6ea02b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alessandra Mazzolaof Nastasja Schunk, Alessandra Mazzola
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Alessandra Mazzola | 55c | 1,610$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.84 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…0f8fbacked Nastasja Schunk | 46c | 999.98$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Nastasja Schunk | 24c | 770$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 197 | 40.6%80 W · 117 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nastasja Schunk | 42c | 691.19$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.41 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Alessandra Mazzola | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 1,091 | 60.2%657 W · 434 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alessandra Mazzola | 53c | 465.77$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.41 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Alessandra Mazzola | 54c | 258.16$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.98 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nastasja Schunk | 45c | 238.5$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.73 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nastasja Schunk | 42c | 211.34$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Alessandra Mazzola | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 897 | 54.6%490 W · 407 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef3b…5af6backed Nastasja Schunk | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alessandra Mazzola | 34c | 150.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.1 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nastasja Schunk | 30c | 147$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91f6…6594backed Nastasja Schunk | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Alessandra Mazzola | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Nastasja Schunk | 48c | 101$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Alessandra Mazzola | 76c | 94.68$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Alessandra Mazzola | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Alessandra Mazzola | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Nastasja Schunk | 57c | 84.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Nastasja Schunk | 35c | 76.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nastasja Schunk | 44c | 75.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Alessandra Mazzola | 41c | 73.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d1…cac5backed Alessandra Mazzola | 43c | 69.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…3a00backed Nastasja Schunk | 32c | 61.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e7…1fffbacked Alessandra Mazzola | 54c | 55.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Nastasja Schunk | 41c | 55.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 746 | 46.1%344 W · 402 L | -30.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…b743backed Alessandra Mazzola | 68c | 51.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Alessandra Mazzola | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 433 | 58.4%253 W · 180 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Nastasja Schunk | 37c | 48.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…7d2ebacked Alessandra Mazzola | 43c | 46.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Nastasja Schunk | 56c | 38.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Nastasja Schunk | 45c | 38.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 643 | 46.2%297 W · 346 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Nastasja Schunk | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Alessandra Mazzola | 76c | 26.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Alessandra Mazzola | 62c | 25.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Alessandra Mazzola | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…c696backed Alessandra Mazzola | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 180 | 72.8%131 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Nastasja Schunk | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed Nastasja Schunk | 58c | 17.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.